Premier League Gameweek 11
Nov 21, 2026 3.00pm
Villa Park

Aston Villa vs Sunderland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Nov 8, 2026 4.30pm
Man Utd 4 - 4 Aston Villa
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Nicolas Jackson

Sunderland

All competitions
Last game
Nov 8, 2026 2.00pm
Sunderland 1 - 0 Chelsea
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Brian Brobbey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aston Villa win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Sunderland has a probability of 29.12% and a draw has a probability of 24.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Sunderland win is 1-2 (7.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.76%).

Result

Aston Villa 46.33% ▲ (+0.13)
Draw 24.51%
Sunderland 29.12% ▼ (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.95% ▼ (-0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.48% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 19.52% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 59.19% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 40.81% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 37.23% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 62.77% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 4.5 22.07% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 4.5 77.93% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Aston Villa 36.65%
Draw 39.2%
Sunderland 24.14%

Team To Score First

Aston Villa 55.01% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 5.3% ▲ (+0.04)
Sunderland 39.69% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 62.99%
Equal 8 11.37%
Under 8 25.64%
Over 9 50.86%
Equal 9 12.13%
Under 9 37.01%
Over 10.5 39.1%
Under 10.5 60.9%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 1.5 49.43% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 50.57% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 24.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 75.95% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 9.47%
Under 3.5 90.53%

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5 66.41% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 0.5 33.59% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 1.5 35.16% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 64.84% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 2.5 14.41% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 85.59% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 4.88% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 95.12% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 46.32%
Draw 24.51%
Sunderland 29.12%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 9.15% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.2% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.88% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.37%
3-0 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 9.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 46.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.76% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.3% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.51%
Sunderland
1-2 @ 7.04% ▼ (-0.04)
0-1 @ 5.97% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 29.12%

Head to Head

Premier League
Apr 19, 2026 2.00pm
4
3
HT : 2 1
FT Villa Park
  • Ollie Watkins 2' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 36' goal
  • Morgan Rogers 46' goal
  • Lucas Digne 70' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Buendía 70' yellowcard
  • Tammy Abraham 79' yellowcard
  • Jadon Sancho 80' yellowcard
  • Tammy Abraham 80' yellowcard
  • Tammy Abraham 90'+3' goal
  • Amadou Onana 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Chris Rigg 9'
  • yellowcard Dan Ballard 63'
  • yellowcard Trai Hume 63'
  • yellowcard Chemsdine Talbi 63'
  • yellowcard Noah Sadiki 66'
  • yellowcard Wilson Isidor 84'
  • goal Trai Hume 86'
  • goal Wilson Isidor 87'
  • yellowcard Nordi Mukiele 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Dan Ballard 90'+8'
Premier League Gameweek 5
Sep 21, 2025 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium of Light
  • Reinildo Mandava 33' redcard
  • Noah Sadiki 74' yellowcard
  • Wilson Isidor 75' goal
  • Granit Xhaka 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ian Maatsen 63'
  • goal Matty Cash 67'
Championship
Mar 6, 2018 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Donald Love 23' yellowcard
  • Bryan Oviedo 55' yellowcard
  • goal Lewis Grabban 34'
  • yellowcard James Chester 35'
  • goal James Chester 45'
  • goal Bryan Oviedo 66' (OG)
Championship
Nov 21, 2017 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Albert Adomah 10' goal
  • Josh Onomah 49' goal
  • goal Lewis Grabban 72'
Premier League
Jan 2, 2016 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Wes Brown 26' yellowcard
  • Patrick van Aanholt 30' goal
  • Fabio Borini 33' yellowcard
  • Jermain Defoe 73' goal
  • Jermain Defoe 92' goal
  • Lee Cattermole 95' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alan Hutton 43'
  • goal Carles Gil 63'
  • yellowcard Adama Traore 69'
  • yellowcard Carles Gil 87'
  • yellowcard Rudy Gestede 95'
Premier League
Aug 29, 2015 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Scott Sinclair 11' goal
  • Ciaran Clark 37' yellowcard
  • Scott Sinclair 41' goal
  • Carles Gil 79' yellowcard
  • goal Yann M'Vila 8'
  • goal Jeremain Lens 52'
  • yellowcard Costel Pantilimon 90'