Europa League Gameweek 4
Nov 5, 2026 8.00pm
Stadium of Light

Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
Sunderland 1 - 0 AZ

Dinamo Zagreb

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
H. Be'er Sheva 0 - 0 Dinamo Zagreb

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Sunderland has a probability of 32.3% and a draw has a probability of 21.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.66%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Sunderland win is 1-0 (8.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.64%).

Result

Sunderland 32.3% ▲ (+0.39)
Draw 21.84% ▼ (-0.45)
Dinamo Zagreb 45.86% ▲ (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.48% ▼ (-0.58)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.59% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 1.5 23.41% ▲ (+0.45)
Over 2.5 53.87% ▼ (-0.65)
Under 2.5 46.13% ▲ (+0.65)
Over 3.5 31.62% ▼ (-1.48)
Under 3.5 68.38% ▲ (+1.47)
Over 4.5 20.25% ▼ (-1.02)
Under 4.5 79.75% ▲ (+1.02)

First Half Winner

Sunderland 16.74% ▼ (-0.14)
Draw 38.78% ▼ (-1.08)
Dinamo Zagreb 44.48% ▲ (+1.21)

Team To Score First

Sunderland 30.66% ▼ (-0.74)
No Goal 6.68% ▲ (+0.31)
Dinamo Zagreb 62.66% ▲ (+0.43)

Corners

Over 8 59.37% ▲ (+2.44)
Equal 8 11.04% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 8 29.6% ▼ (-2.90)
Over 9 48.02% ▲ (+1.81)
Equal 9 11.35% ▲ (+0.63)
Under 9 40.63% ▼ (-2.44)
Over 10.5 37.27% ▲ (+1.12)
Under 10.5 62.72% ▼ (-1.13)

Sunderland Goals

Over 1.5 31.89% ▼ (-0.83)
Under 1.5 68.11% ▲ (+0.82)
Over 2.5 13.17% ▼ (-0.62)
Under 2.5 86.83% ▲ (+0.63)
Over 3.5 4.25% ▼ (-0.46)
Under 3.5 95.75% ▲ (+0.46)

Dinamo Zagreb Goals

Over 0.5 72.23% ▼ (-0.71)
Under 0.5 27.77% ▲ (+0.70)
Over 1.5 44.49% ▼ (-0.70)
Under 1.5 55.51% ▲ (+0.70)
Over 2.5 23.43% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 2.5 76.57% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 3.5 11.33% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 88.67% ▲ (+0.10)

Score analysis

Sunderland 32.29%
Draw 21.84%
Dinamo Zagreb 45.85%
Sunderland
1-0 @ 8.1% ▲ (+0.21)
2-1 @ 6.63% ▲ (+0.26)
2-0 @ 5.67% ▲ (+0.10)
3-0 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.36)
3-1 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.25)
Total : 32.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.64% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.31)
2-2 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.26)
3-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 0.26% ▼ (-0.20)
Total : 21.84%
Dinamo Zagreb
0-1 @ 8.61% ▼ (-0.07)
1-2 @ 7.66% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 7.43% ▲ (+0.18)
0-3 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.28)
1-3 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.30)
Other @ 11.07% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 45.85%