Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Derby County Under-23s and Manchester United Under-23s.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County Under-23s win with a probability of 47.46%. A win for Manchester United Under-23s had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.84%) and 3-1 (5.82%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County Under-23s | Draw | Manchester United Under-23s |
| 47.46% | 21.78% | 30.76% |
| Both teams to score 67.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.2% | 31.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.67% | 53.33% |
| Derby County Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.96% | 14.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.39% | 41.61% |
| Manchester United Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.83% | 21.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.96% | 54.04% |
| Score Analysis |
Derby County Under-23s 47.46%
Manchester United Under-23s 30.76%
Draw 21.78%
| Derby County Under-23s | Draw | Manchester United Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 8.89% 1-0 @ 5.84% 3-1 @ 5.82% 2-0 @ 5.73% 3-2 @ 4.52% 3-0 @ 3.75% 4-1 @ 2.86% 4-2 @ 2.22% 4-0 @ 1.84% 4-3 @ 1.15% 5-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.73% Total : 47.46% | 1-1 @ 9.06% 2-2 @ 6.9% 0-0 @ 2.97% 3-3 @ 2.34% Other @ 0.5% Total : 21.78% | 1-2 @ 7.03% 0-1 @ 4.62% 1-3 @ 3.64% 0-2 @ 3.58% 2-3 @ 3.57% 0-3 @ 1.85% 1-4 @ 1.41% 2-4 @ 1.39% 3-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.76% |


