Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Halifax Town | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 50.89% | 23.34% | 25.77% |
| Both teams to score 58.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.1% | 42.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.69% | 65.3% |
| Halifax Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.05% | 16.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.97% | 47.03% |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.85% | 30.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.7% | 66.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Halifax Town | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.65% 1-0 @ 9.07% 2-0 @ 8.05% 3-1 @ 5.71% 3-0 @ 4.76% 3-2 @ 3.42% 4-1 @ 2.54% 4-0 @ 2.11% 4-2 @ 1.52% Other @ 4.05% Total : 50.89% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 5.79% 0-0 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.33% | 1-2 @ 6.52% 0-1 @ 6.13% 0-2 @ 3.67% 1-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.07% Total : 25.77% |