National League North
Gameweek
5
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-
Elis Watts
83'
-
Warren Clarke
23'
Merthyr Town vs Chorley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Merthyr Town win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Merthyr Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Chorley win was 1-2 (7.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
Result
Merthyr Town
45.35%
▲
(+0.11)
Draw
25.09%
▼
(-0.04)
Chorley
29.55%
▼
(-0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
58.26%
▲
(+0.02)
Goals
Over 1.5
79.44%
Under 1.5
20.56%
Over 2.5
57.36%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 2.5
42.64%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
34.23%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 3.5
65.77%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 4.5
20.5%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 4.5
79.5%
▼
(-0.07)
First Half Winner
Merthyr Town
37.26%
▼
(-0.03)
Draw
38.61%
Chorley
24.13%
▲
(+0.02)
Team To Score First
Merthyr Town
54.97%
▲
(+0.08)
No Goal
6.02%
▼
(-0.02)
Chorley
39.01%
▼
(-0.07)
Corners
Over 8
58.54%
Equal 8
11.39%
Under 8
30.07%
Over 9
46.87%
Equal 9
11.67%
Under 9
41.46%
Over 10.5
35.91%
Under 10.5
64.09%
Merthyr Town Goals
Over 1.5
47.72%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 1.5
52.28%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 2.5
22.76%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 2.5
77.24%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 3.5
9.08%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 3.5
90.92%
▼
(-0.07)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5
66.02%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 0.5
33.98%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 1.5
34.42%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
65.58%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 2.5
13.47%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
86.53%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
4.14%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
95.86%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Merthyr Town
45.34%
Draw
25.1%
Chorley
29.55%
Merthyr Town
2-1
@
9.33%
1-0 @ 8.1% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.42% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 8.84% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 45.34%
1-0 @ 8.1% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.42% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 8.84% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 45.34%
Draw
1-1
@
11.2%
▼
(-0.07)
2-2 @ 6.14% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 25.1%
2-2 @ 6.14% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 25.1%
Chorley
1-2
@
7.38%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.01%
1-3 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 29.55%
0-1 @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.01%
1-3 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 29.55%
Head to Head
National League North
Gameweek
31
-
Kiban Rai
11'
-
Tom Handley
25'
-
Alex John
46'
-
Cawley Cox
71'
-
Tate Hugh Xavier-Jones
79'
-
Jayden Bourne
90'+1'
-
Warren Clarke
32'
-
Anjola Popoola
38'
-
Adam Henley
52'
-
Thomas Carr
72'
-
Thomas Carr
90'+5'
National League North