Club Friendlies 3
Jul 25, 2026 3.00pm
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley vs Accrington Stanley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 7.45pm
Chorley 0 - 0 Altrincham

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 17, 2026 7.30pm
Bradford 1 - 0 Accrington

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chorley win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Accrington Stanley has a probability of 33.58% and a draw has a probability of 26.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win is 0-1 (8.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.49%).

Result

Chorley 39.85% (+0.04)
Draw 26.57% (-0.08)
Accrington Stanley 33.58% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.82% (+0.19)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.04% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 27.96% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 48.6% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 51.4% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 27.27% (+0.35)
Under 3.5 72.73% (-0.35)
Over 4.5 15.35% (+0.25)
Under 4.5 84.65% (-0.25)

First Half Winner

Chorley 29.97% (-0.06)
Draw 43.2% (-0.01)
Accrington Stanley 26.83% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Chorley 46.72% (+0.08)
No Goal 8.97% (-0.09)
Accrington Stanley 44.31% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 54.67% (+0.07)
Equal 8 12.21% (+0.02)
Under 8 33.12% (-0.08)
Over 9 42.54% (+0.05)
Equal 9 12.14% (+0.03)
Under 9 45.33% (-0.07)
Over 10.5 31.51% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 68.49% (-0.04)

Chorley Goals

Over 1.5 38.36% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 61.64% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 15.4% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 84.6% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 5.6% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 94.4% (-0.09)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5 65.59% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 34.41% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 32.97% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 67.03% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 13.19% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 86.81% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 4.13% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 95.87% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Chorley 39.86%
Draw 26.58%
Accrington Stanley 33.59%
Chorley
1-0 @ 10.07% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.8%
3-1 @ 3.61% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.01% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.21% (+0.05)
Other @ 5.59% (+0.09)
Total : 39.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.49% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.97% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.14% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.58%
Accrington Stanley
0-1 @ 8.95% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 7.31% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 5.12% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.19% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.45% (+0.06)
Other @ 4.12% (+0.07)
Total : 33.59%