National League North Gameweek 46
Apr 25, 2026 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Harvey Smith 37' goal
  • M. Wilson 45'+1' goal
  • goal Lewis Whitham 55'

Chorley vs Worksop Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
King's Lynn 1 - 1 Chorley
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Anjola Popoola

Worksop Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Worksop 8 - 0 P'boro Sports
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Lewis Whitham

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for Worksop Town had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Worksop Town win was 0-1 (7.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Chorley 42.42% (+0.03)
Draw 24.62% (-0.01)
Worksop Town 32.91% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.16%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.12%
Under 1.5 23.88%
Over 2.5 53.06% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 46.94% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 30.96%
Under 3.5 69.04%
Over 4.5 17.49% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 82.51% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Chorley 33.86% (+0.01)
Draw 40.44% (-0.02)
Worksop Town 25.7%

Team To Score First

Chorley 51.3% (+0.04)
No Goal 6.4% (-0.01)
Worksop Town 42.3% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 53.71% (-0.07)
Equal 8 11.88% (-0.01)
Under 8 34.4% (+0.06)
Over 9 41.98% (-0.05)
Equal 9 11.73% (-0.01)
Under 9 46.29% (+0.07)
Over 10.5 31.35% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 68.65% (+0.04)

Chorley Goals

Over 1.5 42.52% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 57.48% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 18.67% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 81.33% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.75% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.25% (-0.02)

Worksop Town Goals

Over 0.5 67.24% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 32.76% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 34.67% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 65.33% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 13.63% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 86.37% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 4.2% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.8% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Chorley 42.42%
Draw 24.62%
Worksop Town 32.91%
Chorley
1-0 @ 9.49% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.86% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.79% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.5% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.4% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75%
Other @ 6.63% (+0.01)
Total : 42.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.27% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.56% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.62%
Worksop Town
0-1 @ 7.94% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.74% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.99% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.1% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.08% (-0.01)
Total : 32.91%

Head to Head

National League North
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jordan Burrow 11' goal
  • goal Milan Lalkovic 73'