Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for Worksop Town had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Worksop Town win was 0-1 (7.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.