Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Worksop Town had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Worksop Town win was 1-2 (8.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.