Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 (8.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.