Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (8.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.