Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Shields win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Shields win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 2-1 (7.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.