Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 37.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (9.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.