Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (7.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.