Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (8.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.