National League North
Gameweek
3
-
Keiran Evans
22'
-
Morgan Wigley
76'
-
Rio Lloyd Owen
45'+3'
-
Matty Stenson
57'
Merthyr Town vs AFC Telford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Merthyr Town win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Merthyr Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.48%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 1-2 (7.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result
Merthyr Town
44.78%
▲
(+0.64)
Draw
23.48%
▼
(-0.43)
AFC Telford United
31.74%
▼
(-0.16)
Both Teams to Score:
64.88%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 1.5
83.75%
▲
(+0.32)
Under 1.5
16.25%
▼
(-0.33)
Over 2.5
64.37%
▲
(+0.57)
Under 2.5
35.63%
▼
(-0.56)
Over 3.5
40.99%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 3.5
59.01%
▲
(+0.40)
Over 4.5
26.08%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 4.5
73.92%
▲
(+0.40)
First Half Winner
Merthyr Town
37.68%
▲
(+1.07)
Draw
36.51%
▲
(+0.56)
AFC Telford United
25.82%
▼
(-1.61)
Team To Score First
Merthyr Town
51.95%
▲
(+0.31)
No Goal
4.51%
▼
(-0.24)
AFC Telford United
43.54%
▼
(-0.08)
Corners
Over 8
62.04%
▼
(-4.98)
Equal 8
10.59%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 8
27.37%
▲
(+5.02)
Over 9
50.89%
▼
(-4.43)
Equal 9
11.15%
▼
(-0.55)
Under 9
37.96%
▲
(+4.99)
Over 10.5
40.07%
▼
(-3.54)
Under 10.5
59.93%
▲
(+3.54)
Merthyr Town Goals
Over 1.5
50.37%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 1.5
49.63%
▼
(-0.34)
Over 2.5
25.42%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
74.58%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
10.32%
▼
(-0.42)
Under 3.5
89.68%
▲
(+0.43)
AFC Telford United Goals
Over 0.5
69.45%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 0.5
30.55%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 1.5
39.8%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
60.2%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 2.5
17.67%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
82.33%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
6.54%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 3.5
93.46%
▲
(+0.08)
Score analysis
Merthyr Town
44.79%
Draw
23.48%
AFC Telford United
31.74%
Merthyr Town
2-1
@
9.57%
▲
(+0.40)
1-0 @ 6.48% ▲ (+0.11)
2-0 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 4.85%
3-2 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.12)
3-0 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.32)
Other @ 10.06% ▼ (-0.33)
Total : 44.79%
1-0 @ 6.48% ▲ (+0.11)
2-0 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 4.85%
3-2 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.12)
3-0 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.32)
Other @ 10.06% ▼ (-0.33)
Total : 44.79%
Draw
1-1
@
9.96%
▼
(-0.07)
2-2 @ 6.64% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.24)
3-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.26% ▼ (-0.10)
Total : 23.48%
2-2 @ 6.64% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.24)
3-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.26% ▼ (-0.10)
Total : 23.48%
AFC Telford United
1-2
@
7.45%
▲
(+0.15)
0-1 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.25)
1-3 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 6.28% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 31.74%
0-1 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.25)
1-3 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 6.28% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 31.74%
Head to Head
National League North
-
Cawley Cox
46'
-
Alex John
46'
-
Cole Jarvis
73'
-
Cole Lewis Jarvis
74'
-
Jayden Bourne
90'+2'
-
Charlie Caswell
90'+2'
-
Dylan Allen-Hadley
19'
-
Ammar Dyer
45'+5'
-
Dylan Allen-Hadley
45'+6'
-
Remi Walker
55'
-
Charlie Williams
67'
-
Dylan Allen-Hadley
77'
-
Ricardo Dinanga
79'
-
Ola Lawal
79'
-
Jahdahn Fridye-Harper
83'
-
Rhys Hilton
83'
National League North