National League North
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Flamingo Land Stadium
  • Kieran Weledji 68' goal
  • Rio Allan 79' goal
  • goal Cawley Cox 3'

Scarborough Athletic vs Merthyr Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Scarborough Athletic

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Buxton 2 - 0 Scarborough Ath
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Stephen Walker

Merthyr Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 14, 2026 7.45pm
Marine AFC 1 - 3 Merthyr Town
Goals scored
88
Top scorer
Lewys Twamley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 47.91%. A win for Merthyr Town had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Merthyr Town win was 1-2 (6.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result

Scarborough Athletic 47.91% (+3.67)
Draw 24.01% (-1.10)
Merthyr Town 28.08% (-2.63)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.99% (+1.47)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.67% (+0.60)
Under 1.5 21.33% (-0.60)
Over 2.5 56.58% (+1.19)
Under 2.5 43.42% (-1.19)
Over 3.5 34.23% (+0.27)
Under 3.5 65.77% (-0.28)
Over 4.5 20.32% (+0.59)
Under 4.5 79.68% (-0.59)

First Half Winner

Scarborough Athletic 35.49% (+5.20)
Draw 39.02% (-1.55)
Merthyr Town 25.49% (-3.65)

Team To Score First

Scarborough Athletic 53.16% (+5.10)
No Goal 5.67% (-0.25)
Merthyr Town 41.17% (-4.86)

Corners

Over 8 57.18% (-0.58)
Equal 8 11.51% (+0.32)
Under 8 31.31% (+0.27)
Over 9 45.52% (-0.83)
Equal 9 11.65% (+0.25)
Under 9 42.82% (+0.58)
Over 10.5 34.69% (-0.97)
Under 10.5 65.31% (+0.97)

Scarborough Athletic Goals

Over 1.5 48.41% (+2.77)
Under 1.5 51.59% (-2.77)
Over 2.5 23.43% (+2.17)
Under 2.5 76.57% (-2.18)
Over 3.5 9.12% (+0.87)
Under 3.5 90.88% (-0.88)

Merthyr Town Goals

Over 0.5 64.46% (-2.39)
Under 0.5 35.54% (+2.39)
Over 1.5 32.74% (-1.72)
Under 1.5 67.26% (+1.72)
Over 2.5 12.84% (-1.17)
Under 2.5 87.16% (+1.18)
Over 3.5 4.12% (-0.54)
Under 3.5 95.88% (+0.54)

Score analysis

Scarborough Athletic 47.91%
Draw 24.01%
Merthyr Town 28.07%
Scarborough Athletic
2-1 @ 9.53% (+0.55)
1-0 @ 9.39% (+0.34)
2-0 @ 7.4% (+0.61)
3-1 @ 5.08% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 4.25% (+0.69)
3-2 @ 3.44% (+0.44)
Other @ 8.82% (+0.94)
Total : 47.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.85% (-0.59)
0-0 @ 5.67% (-0.25)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.26)
3-3 @ 1.54% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.3% (-0.06)
Total : 24.01%
Merthyr Town
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.13)
0-1 @ 6.26% (-0.75)
0-2 @ 3.85% (-0.61)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.22)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.30)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.18)
Other @ 3.82% (-0.48)
Total : 28.07%

Head to Head

National League North
Aug 25, 2025 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT