Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 47.91%. A win for Merthyr Town had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Merthyr Town win was 1-2 (6.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.