Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macclesfield Town win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Merthyr Town had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macclesfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.84%) and 0-2 (5.29%). The likeliest Merthyr Town win was 2-1 (7.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.