National League North Gameweek 44
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Penydarren Park

Merthyr Town vs Macclesfield Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Merthyr Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Hereford 3 - 0 Merthyr Town
Goals scored
83
Top scorer
Lewys Twamley

Macclesfield Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Macclesfield 0 - 2 Chester
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Paul Dawson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Macclesfield Town win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Merthyr Town has a probability of 33.88% and a draw has a probability of 22.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macclesfield Town win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (5.84%) and 0-2 (5.29%). The likeliest Merthyr Town win is 2-1 (7.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.25%).

Result

Merthyr Town 33.88%
Draw 22.65%
Macclesfield Town 43.47%

Both Teams to Score: 

63.86%

Goals

Over 1.5 85.44%
Under 1.5 14.56%
Over 2.5 66.82%
Under 2.5 33.18%
Over 3.5 45.4%
Under 3.5 54.6%
Over 4.5 28.89%
Under 4.5 71.11%

First Half Winner

Merthyr Town 30.94%
Draw 37.21%
Macclesfield Town 31.84%

Team To Score First

Merthyr Town 46.01%
No Goal 3.47%
Macclesfield Town 50.52%

Corners

Over 8 66.17% (+0.02)
Equal 8 10.13%
Under 8 23.7%
Over 9 55.14% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.03%
Under 9 33.83% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 44.11% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 55.89% (-0.01)

Merthyr Town Goals

Over 1.5 42.75%
Under 1.5 57.25%
Over 2.5 20.27%
Under 2.5 79.73%
Over 3.5 7.66%
Under 3.5 92.34%

Macclesfield Town Goals

Over 0.5 77.7%
Under 0.5 22.3%
Over 1.5 51.12%
Under 1.5 48.88%
Over 2.5 26.47%
Under 2.5 73.53%
Over 3.5 11.43%
Under 3.5 88.57%

Score analysis

Merthyr Town 33.88%
Draw 22.64%
Macclesfield Town 43.47%
Merthyr Town
2-1 @ 7.24%
1-0 @ 5.24%
3-1 @ 4.25%
2-0 @ 4.09%
3-2 @ 3.57%
3-0 @ 2.29%
Other @ 7.2%
Total : 33.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.25%
2-2 @ 6.96%
0-0 @ 3.47%
3-3 @ 2.5%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.64%
Macclesfield Town
1-2 @ 8.83%
0-1 @ 5.84%
0-2 @ 5.29%
1-3 @ 5.29%
2-3 @ 4.19%
0-3 @ 3.06%
Other @ 10.97%
Total : 43.47%

Head to Head

National League North
Sep 2, 2025 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT