National League North
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Penydarren Park
  • Tom Handley 67' goal
  • goal Josh Kay 70'
  • goal James Edmondson 87'

Merthyr Town vs Macclesfield Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Merthyr Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Hereford 3 - 0 Merthyr Town
Goals scored
87
Top scorer
Lewys Twamley

Macclesfield Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Macclesfield 0 - 2 Chester
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Paul Dawson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macclesfield Town win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Merthyr Town had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macclesfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.84%) and 0-2 (5.29%). The likeliest Merthyr Town win was 2-1 (7.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result

Merthyr Town 33.88%
Draw 22.65%
Macclesfield Town 43.47%

Both Teams to Score: 

63.86%

Goals

Over 1.5 85.44%
Under 1.5 14.56%
Over 2.5 66.82%
Under 2.5 33.18%
Over 3.5 45.4%
Under 3.5 54.6%
Over 4.5 28.89%
Under 4.5 71.11%

First Half Winner

Merthyr Town 30.94%
Draw 37.21%
Macclesfield Town 31.84%

Team To Score First

Merthyr Town 46.01%
No Goal 3.47%
Macclesfield Town 50.52%

Corners

Over 8 66.17% (+0.02)
Equal 8 10.13%
Under 8 23.7%
Over 9 55.14% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.03%
Under 9 33.83% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 44.11% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 55.89% (-0.01)

Merthyr Town Goals

Over 1.5 42.75%
Under 1.5 57.25%
Over 2.5 20.27%
Under 2.5 79.73%
Over 3.5 7.66%
Under 3.5 92.34%

Macclesfield Town Goals

Over 0.5 77.7%
Under 0.5 22.3%
Over 1.5 51.12%
Under 1.5 48.88%
Over 2.5 26.47%
Under 2.5 73.53%
Over 3.5 11.43%
Under 3.5 88.57%

Score analysis

Merthyr Town 33.88%
Draw 22.64%
Macclesfield Town 43.47%
Merthyr Town
2-1 @ 7.24%
1-0 @ 5.24%
3-1 @ 4.25%
2-0 @ 4.09%
3-2 @ 3.57%
3-0 @ 2.29%
Other @ 7.2%
Total : 33.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.25%
2-2 @ 6.96%
0-0 @ 3.47%
3-3 @ 2.5%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.64%
Macclesfield Town
1-2 @ 8.83%
0-1 @ 5.84%
0-2 @ 5.29%
1-3 @ 5.29%
2-3 @ 4.19%
0-3 @ 3.06%
Other @ 10.97%
Total : 43.47%

Head to Head

National League North
Sep 2, 2025 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT