Club Friendlies 3
Jul 18, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Penydarren Park
  • Thomas Conteh 23' goal
  • goal Kyle Ajayi 5'
  • goal Thomas Conteh 26'

Merthyr Town vs Forest Green Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Merthyr Town

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 14, 2026 7.30pm
Merthyr Town 2 - 2 Yeovil

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 7, 2026 7.45pm
Bishop's Cleeve 1 - 3 Forest Green

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Merthyr Town had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.52%) and 0-2 (5.15%). The likeliest Merthyr Town win was 2-1 (7.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result

Merthyr Town 36.27% (+0.05)
Draw 23.8% (+0.02)
Forest Green Rovers 39.93% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.36% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.51% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 17.49% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 62.6% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 37.4% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 40.4% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 59.6% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 25.24% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 74.76% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Merthyr Town 30.1% (+0.03)
Draw 37.53% (-0.12)
Forest Green Rovers 32.36% (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Merthyr Town 46.53% (+0.04)
No Goal 4.86% (+0.03)
Forest Green Rovers 48.61% (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 67.08% (+0.15)
Equal 8 10.42% (-0.01)
Under 8 22.5% (-0.15)
Over 9 55.62% (+0.15)
Equal 9 11.47% (+0.01)
Under 9 32.92% (-0.15)
Over 10.5 44.09% (+0.13)
Under 10.5 55.91% (-0.13)

Merthyr Town Goals

Over 1.5 42.28% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 57.72% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 19.65% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 80.35% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.11% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 92.89% (+0.02)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 74.89% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 25.11% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 46.01% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 53.99% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 22.03% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 77.97% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 9.56% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 90.44% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Merthyr Town 36.26%
Draw 23.8%
Forest Green Rovers 39.94%
Merthyr Town
2-1 @ 7.95% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 6.11% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 4.64% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.29%
3-2 @ 3.77% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.69% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.81% (-0.03)
Total : 36.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.12% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.73% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.86% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.8%
Forest Green Rovers
1-2 @ 8.33%
0-1 @ 6.52% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.15% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.14% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.31% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.23% (-0.02)
Other @ 9.26% (-0.03)
Total : 39.94%