Club Friendlies 3
Jul 18, 2026 3.00pm
Penydarren Park

Merthyr Town vs Forest Green Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Merthyr Town

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 14, 2026 7.30pm
Merthyr Town 2 - 2 Yeovil

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 7, 2026 7.45pm
Bishop's Cleeve 1 - 3 Forest Green

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Merthyr Town has a probability of 36.23% and a draw has a probability of 23.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.5%) and 0-2 (5.14%). The likeliest Merthyr Town win is 2-1 (7.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.11%).

Result

Merthyr Town 36.23%
Draw 23.78%
Forest Green Rovers 39.99%

Both Teams to Score: 

61.4%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.57%
Under 1.5 17.43%
Over 2.5 62.69%
Under 2.5 37.31%
Over 3.5 40.52%
Under 3.5 59.48%
Over 4.5 25.33%
Under 4.5 74.67%

First Half Winner

Merthyr Town 30.08%
Draw 37.65%
Forest Green Rovers 32.27%

Team To Score First

Merthyr Town 46.49%
No Goal 4.84%
Forest Green Rovers 48.67%

Corners

Over 8 66.93%
Equal 8 10.43%
Under 8 22.65% (+0.01)
Over 9 55.47%
Equal 9 11.46%
Under 9 33.07%
Over 10.5 43.97%
Under 10.5 56.03%

Merthyr Town Goals

Over 1.5 42.31%
Under 1.5 57.69%
Over 2.5 19.67%
Under 2.5 80.33%
Over 3.5 7.13%
Under 3.5 92.87%

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 74.93%
Under 0.5 25.07%
Over 1.5 46.1%
Under 1.5 53.9%
Over 2.5 22.11%
Under 2.5 77.89%
Over 3.5 9.59%
Under 3.5 90.41%

Score analysis

Merthyr Town 36.23%
Draw 23.78%
Forest Green Rovers 39.99%
Merthyr Town
2-1 @ 7.93%
1-0 @ 6.09%
2-0 @ 4.63%
3-1 @ 4.29%
3-2 @ 3.78%
3-0 @ 2.68%
Other @ 6.83%
Total : 36.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.11%
2-2 @ 6.74%
0-0 @ 4.84%
3-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.78%
Forest Green Rovers
1-2 @ 8.33%
0-1 @ 6.5%
0-2 @ 5.14%
1-3 @ 4.15%
2-3 @ 3.34%
0-3 @ 3.24%
Other @ 9.29%
Total : 39.99%