Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (8.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.