National League Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
The Suit Direct Stadium

Hartlepool United vs Rochdale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
Scunthorpe 0 - 0 Hartlepool
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Alex Reid

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
Rochdale 2 - 4 Morecambe
Goals scored
83
Top scorer
Emmanuel Dieseruvwe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rochdale win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Hartlepool United has a probability of 32.05% and a draw has a probability of 26.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win is 1-0 (8.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.25%).

Result

Hartlepool United 32.05%
Draw 26.53% (-0.05)
Rochdale 41.43% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.41% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.14% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 26.86% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 48.95% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 51.05% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 27.24% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 72.76% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 14.75% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 85.25% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Hartlepool United 25.91%
Draw 42.78%
Rochdale 31.3%

Team To Score First

Hartlepool United 42.37% (+0.01)
No Goal 7.66% (-0.02)
Rochdale 49.97% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 51% (-0.11)
Equal 8 12.03%
Under 8 36.97% (+0.11)
Over 9 39.38% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.62% (-0.03)
Under 9 49% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 29.06% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 70.94% (+0.07)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 1.5 32.42% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 67.58% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 12.05%
Under 2.5 87.95%
Over 3.5 3.57%
Under 3.5 96.43%

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5 73.04% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 26.96% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 39.75% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 60.25% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 16.54% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 83.46% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.62% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.38% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Hartlepool United 32.04%
Draw 26.52%
Rochdale 41.42%
Hartlepool United
1-0 @ 8.72%
2-1 @ 7.51% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.05%
3-1 @ 3.07% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.14% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.37% (+0.02)
Total : 32.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.25% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.66% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.32%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.2% (-0.01)
Total : 26.52%
Rochdale
0-1 @ 10.46% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.9% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.1% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.24% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.49% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.42% (+0.02)
Total : 41.42%

Head to Head

National League
Dec 30, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Ian Henderson 79' goal
  • goal Maxim Kouogun 21'
  • goal Luke Charman 28'
National League Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT Spotland Stadium
  • Devante Rodney 6' goal
  • Ian Henderson 20' goal
  • Leon Ayinde 25' goal
  • Ethan Ebanks-Landell 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Devante Rodney 52' goal
  • Jay Bird 85' goal
  • goal Nicky Featherstone 11'
National League Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2024 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT The Northern Gas and Power Stadium
  • Nathan Sheron 36' yellowcard
  • goal Connor McBride 45'
  • yellowcard Jake Burger 56'
  • goal Kairo Mitchell 58'
  • goal Devante Rodney 79'
National League Gameweek 43
Apr 1, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Kairo Mitchell 39' redcard
  • Kyron Gordon 89' yellowcard
  • Devante Rodney 90'+6' goal
  • goal Joe Grey 65'
  • yellowcard Joe Grey 66'
  • yellowcard Tom Crawford 78'
  • yellowcard Tom Parkes 90'+3'
National League Gameweek 18
Oct 28, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 3
FT The Northern Gas and Power Stadium
  • Nicky Featherstone 45'+6' goal
  • Christopher Wreh 76' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 83' goal
  • goal Cian Hayes 3'
  • goal Jimmy Keohane 33'
  • goal Ryan East 45'+2'
  • yellowcard 90'+6'
League Two Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Josh Umerah 54' goal
  • Jack Hamilton 64' goal