Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (8.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.