National League Gameweek 42
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
Crown Oil Arena

Rochdale vs Morecambe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Sutton 1 - 2 Rochdale
Goals scored
81
Top scorer
Emmanuel Dieseruvwe

Morecambe

All competitions
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Morecambe 0 - 2 Aldershot
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Jack Nolan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rochdale win with a probability of 74.26%. A draw has a probability of 15.41% and a win for Morecambe has a probability of 10.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.67%) and 3-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.04%) , while for a Morecambe win it is 1-2 (3.15%).

Result

Rochdale 74.26%
Draw 15.41%
Morecambe 10.28% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.46%

Goals

Over 1.5 85.38% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 14.62% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 67.13%
Under 2.5 32.87%
Over 3.5 45.32% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 54.68% (+0.09)
Over 4.5 32.96% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 67.04% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Rochdale 49.72%
Draw 33.23%
Morecambe 17.06%

Team To Score First

Rochdale 70.36%
No Goal 3.41%
Morecambe 26.23%

Corners

Over 8 57.27% (-0.16)
Equal 8 11.44% (-0.05)
Under 8 31.29% (+0.20)
Over 9 45.66% (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.61% (-0.06)
Under 9 42.73% (+0.16)
Over 10.5 34.85% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 65.15% (+0.05)

Rochdale Goals

Over 1.5 71.76% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 28.24% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 47.08% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 52.92% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 26.6% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 73.4% (+0.02)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5 42.95% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 57.05% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 16.02% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 83.98% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 4.14% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 95.86% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.05% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.95% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Rochdale 74.26%
Draw 15.4%
Morecambe 10.26%
Rochdale
2-0 @ 10.02% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.67% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 8.57% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 8.43%
3-1 @ 7.52% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.03)
Other @ 26.54% (-0.02)
Total : 74.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.04%
2-2 @ 4.01% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.41%
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 15.4%
Morecambe
1-2 @ 3.15% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 2.7% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.21% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.99% (-0.03)
Total : 10.26%

Head to Head

National League
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jack Nolan 47' goal
  • 71' yellowcard
  • Paul Lewis 71' yellowcard
  • Ludwig Francillette 85' yellowcard
  • Ludwig Francillette 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Pritchard 27'
  • yellowcard Joe Pritchard 28'
  • goal Ian Henderson 45'
  • yellowcard Ethan Ebanks-Landell 78'
  • goal Harvey Gilmour 81'
EFL Trophy
Sep 8, 2020 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Globe Arena
  • Sam Lavelle 23' goal
  • Sam Lavelle 55' yellowcard
  • John O'Sullivan 61' yellowcard
  • goal Fabio Tavares 86'
  • goal Alex Newby 90'+3'
Johnstone's Paint Trophy
Nov 10, 2015 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jim McNulty 24' yellowcard
  • Andy Cannon 82' yellowcard
  • goal Paul Mullin 17'
  • yellowcard Shaun Miller 79'
  • yellowcard Aaron McGowan 88'
League Two
Feb 15, 2014 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Scott Hogan 35' goal
  • Matthew Lund 40' yellowcard
  • Ian Henderson 73' goal
  • Michael Rose 83' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Redshaw 32'
League Two
Nov 16, 2013 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jack Sampson 20' yellowcard
  • Chris McCready 85' yellowcard
  • Padraig Amond 89' goal
  • Joe Mwasile 90' yellowcard
  • goal Mark Hughes 64' (OG)
  • goal Scott Hogan 66'
League Two
Mar 2, 2013 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Andrew Fleming 4' yellowcard
  • Chris McCready 9' goal
  • Kevin Ellison 60' goal
  • Andrew Fleming 63' goal