Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Merthyr Town had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 21.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.85%) and 1-3 (5.43%). The likeliest Merthyr Town win was 2-1 (7.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%).