National League North Gameweek 46
Apr 25, 2026 12.30pm
2
4
HT : 1 0
FT Penydarren Park
  • Lewys Twamley 27' goal
  • Cawley Cox 55' goal
  • goal Felipinho 53'
  • goal Luca Thomas 57'
  • goal Luca Thomas 83'
  • goal Conor McAleny 90'+9'

Merthyr Town vs Fylde - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Merthyr Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Scarborough Ath 2 - 1 Merthyr Town
Goals scored
90
Top scorer
Lewys Twamley

Fylde

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Fylde 4 - 0 Southport
Goals scored
110
Top scorer
Danny Ormerod

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Merthyr Town had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 21.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.85%) and 1-3 (5.43%). The likeliest Merthyr Town win was 2-1 (7.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%).

Result

Merthyr Town 35.31% (-0.05)
Draw 21.86% (+0.01)
Fylde 42.78% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

66.39%

Goals

Over 1.5 85.43% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 14.57% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 66.98% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 33.02% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 45.76% (+0.50)
Under 3.5 54.24% (-0.50)
Over 4.5 29.12% (+0.34)
Under 4.5 70.88% (-0.35)

First Half Winner

Merthyr Town 32.78% (-0.05)
Draw 34.13% (-0.08)
Fylde 33.09% (+0.13)

Team To Score First

Merthyr Town 46.04% (-0.08)
No Goal 3.45% (-0.03)
Fylde 50.51% (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 63.15% (+0.08)
Equal 8 10.89%
Under 8 25.96% (-0.08)
Over 9 51.57% (+0.07)
Equal 9 11.58% (+0.01)
Under 9 36.85% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 40.3% (+0.05)
Under 10.5 59.7% (-0.05)

Merthyr Town Goals

Over 1.5 44.25% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 55.75% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 21.2% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 78.8% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 8.76% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 91.24% (-0.08)

Fylde Goals

Over 0.5 76.38% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 23.62% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 49.96% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 50.04% (-0.14)
Over 2.5 25.7% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 74.3% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 10.27% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 89.73% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Merthyr Town 35.32%
Draw 21.87%
Fylde 42.77%
Merthyr Town
2-1 @ 7.33% (-0.16)
1-0 @ 5.23% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.38% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 4.29% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.48% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.21% (-0.15)
Other @ 8.4% (+0.07)
Total : 35.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.86% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 6.83% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 3.45% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 2.37% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.36% (+0.02)
Total : 21.87%
Fylde
1-2 @ 8.65% (-0.13)
0-1 @ 5.85% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 5.43% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 5.3% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 4.6% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 3.03% (-0.16)
Other @ 9.91% (+0.09)
Total : 42.77%

Head to Head

National League North
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Danny Ormerod 64' goal