National League North Gameweek 46
Apr 25, 2026 12.30pm
Penydarren Park

Merthyr Town vs Fylde - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Merthyr Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Scarborough Ath 2 - 1 Merthyr Town
Goals scored
88
Top scorer
Lewys Twamley

Fylde

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Fylde 4 - 0 Southport
Goals scored
106
Top scorer
Danny Ormerod

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fylde win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Merthyr Town has a probability of 35.47% and a draw has a probability of 21.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (5.82%) and 1-3 (5.36%). The likeliest Merthyr Town win is 2-1 (7.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.89%).

Result

Merthyr Town 35.47%
Draw 21.85%
Fylde 42.68%

Both Teams to Score: 

66.4%

Goals

Over 1.5 85.49%
Under 1.5 14.51%
Over 2.5 67.04%
Under 2.5 32.96%
Over 3.5 45.33%
Under 3.5 54.67%
Over 4.5 28.83%
Under 4.5 71.17%

First Half Winner

Merthyr Town 32.84%
Draw 34.19%
Fylde 32.96%

Team To Score First

Merthyr Town 46.15%
No Goal 3.47%
Fylde 50.38%

Corners

Over 8 63.09%
Equal 8 10.89%
Under 8 26.03%
Over 9 51.52%
Equal 9 11.57%
Under 9 36.91%
Over 10.5 40.25%
Under 10.5 59.75%

Merthyr Town Goals

Over 1.5 44.27%
Under 1.5 55.73%
Over 2.5 21.17%
Under 2.5 78.83%
Over 3.5 8.72%
Under 3.5 91.28%

Fylde Goals

Over 0.5 76.29%
Under 0.5 23.71%
Over 1.5 49.78%
Under 1.5 50.22%
Over 2.5 25.53%
Under 2.5 74.47%
Over 3.5 10.15%
Under 3.5 89.85%

Score analysis

Merthyr Town 35.45%
Draw 21.86%
Fylde 42.68%
Merthyr Town
2-1 @ 7.47%
1-0 @ 5.21%
3-1 @ 4.33%
2-0 @ 4.29%
3-2 @ 3.42%
3-0 @ 2.35%
Other @ 8.38%
Total : 35.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.89%
2-2 @ 6.81%
0-0 @ 3.47%
3-3 @ 2.35%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.86%
Fylde
1-2 @ 8.74%
0-1 @ 5.82%
1-3 @ 5.36%
0-2 @ 5.28%
2-3 @ 4.53%
0-3 @ 3.14%
Other @ 9.81%
Total : 42.68%

Head to Head

National League North
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Danny Ormerod 64' goal