Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Fylde win was 1-2 (8.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.