Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 1-2 (7.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.