National League North
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Brewery Field
  • Glen Taylor 88' goal
  • Glen Taylor 90'+4' goal
  • redcard Will Spiers 45'+1'
  • goal Kane Simpson 60'

Spennymoor Town vs Merthyr Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Spennymoor Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Morecambe 1 - 1 Spennymoor

Merthyr Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Merthyr Town 2 - 0 Hednesford

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Merthyr Town had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Merthyr Town win was 1-2 (7.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Spennymoor Town 46.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 23.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Merthyr Town 29.88%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.84% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 18.93% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 60.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 39.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 36.9% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 63.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 22.23%
Under 4.5 77.77%

First Half Winner

Spennymoor Town 37.02%
Draw 38.11%
Merthyr Town 24.87%

Team To Score First

Spennymoor Town 54.24% ▲ (+0.06)
No Goal 4.95%
Merthyr Town 40.81% ▼ (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 68.06% ▲ (+0.13)
Equal 8 9.98% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 21.95% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 9 57.02% ▲ (+0.12)
Equal 9 11.04%
Under 9 31.93% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 10.5 45.82% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 10.5 54.18% ▼ (-0.11)

Spennymoor Town Goals

Over 1.5 49.23%
Under 1.5 50.77%
Over 2.5 23.73% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 76.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 9.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 90.81% ▼ (-0.01)

Merthyr Town Goals

Over 0.5 67% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 33% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 36.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 63.97% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 14.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 85.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.89% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Spennymoor Town 46.72%
Draw 23.41%
Merthyr Town 29.86%
Spennymoor Town
2-1 @ 9.84%
1-0 @ 8.22% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.61%
3-1 @ 5.07%
3-0 @ 4.07%
3-2 @ 3.77%
Other @ 9.14% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 46.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.31%
2-2 @ 6.47%
0-0 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 23.41%
Merthyr Town
1-2 @ 7.45% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.75% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.86%
1-3 @ 3.13%
2-3 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.03%
Other @ 5.06%
Total : 29.86%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 39
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Penydarren Park
  • Kiban Rai 7' goal
  • Cawley Cox 47' goal
  • goal Matty Dolan 53'
  • goal Junior Mondal 71'
  • goal Glen Taylor 90'+1'
National League North
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
6
4
HT : 0 0
FT