National League North Gameweek 46
Apr 25, 2026 12.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Haig Avenue
  • Jordan Slew 15' goal
  • Ben Collins 86' goal

Southport vs AFC Telford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Southport

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 21, 2026 7.45pm
Macclesfield 2 - 1 Southport
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Malakai McKenzie

AFC Telford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Telford 1 - 1 Darlington
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Dylan Allen-Hadley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Telford United win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Southport had a probability of 37.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a AFC Telford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.28%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest Southport win was 2-1 (8.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Southport 37.44%
Draw 24.28% (+0.02)
AFC Telford United 38.33% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.15%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.5% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 20.5% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 57.72% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 42.28% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 34.65% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 65.35% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 20.01% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 79.99% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Southport 29.68% (+0.01)
Draw 39.59% (+0.02)
AFC Telford United 30.72% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Southport 46.96% (-0.08)
No Goal 5.43% (+0.01)
AFC Telford United 47.61% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 60.8% (+0.10)
Equal 8 11.47% (-0.01)
Under 8 27.74% (-0.09)
Over 9 48.82% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.97%
Under 9 39.2% (-0.10)
Over 10.5 37.41% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 62.59% (-0.08)

Southport Goals

Over 1.5 40.88% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 59.12% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 17.72% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 82.28% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.97% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.03% (+0.02)

AFC Telford United Goals

Over 0.5 72.59% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 27.41% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 42.03% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 57.97% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 18.53% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 81.47% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 6.4%
Under 3.5 93.6%

Score analysis

Southport 37.42%
Draw 24.29%
AFC Telford United 38.33%
Southport
2-1 @ 8.37%
1-0 @ 7.83%
2-0 @ 5.47%
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.96%
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.76% (-0.01)
Total : 37.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.77% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.12%
0-0 @ 5.43% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.76% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.21% (-0.02)
Total : 24.29%
AFC Telford United
1-2 @ 8.94%
0-1 @ 7.28%
0-2 @ 5.55% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.37% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.8%
Other @ 6.19% (+0.02)
Total : 38.33%

Head to Head

National League North
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Remi Walker 4' goal
  • Matt Stenson 60' goal
  • goal Malakai McKenzie 52'
  • goal Chris Sze 57'
National League North Gameweek 30
Jan 28, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT New Bucks Head Ground
  • Adam Livingstone 39' goal
  • goal Connor Woods 51'
National League North Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Haig Avenue
National League North Gameweek 41
May 2, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Reiss McNally 33' goal
  • goal Rob Evans 38'
National League North Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Douglas Tharme 33'
  • goal Douglas Tharme 47'
  • goal Jordan Archer 85'
National League North Gameweek 28
Mar 20, 2021 3.00pm