Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Telford United win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Southport had a probability of 37.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a AFC Telford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.28%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest Southport win was 2-1 (8.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.