Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macclesfield Town win with a probability of 57.01%. A win for Southport had a probability of 21.7% and a draw had a probability of 21.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macclesfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-2 (6.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.