National League North
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
LIVE Mariners Park
  • Cain Sykes 47' goal

South Shields vs Merthyr Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

South Shields

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 18, 2026 7.45pm
Morecambe 0 - 1 South Shields

Merthyr Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 18, 2026 7.45pm
Merthyr Town 2 - 2 Telford

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a South Shields win with a probability of 69.97%. A draw has a probability of 16.71% and a win for Merthyr Town has a probability of 13.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Shields win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.27%) and 3-0 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.45%) , while for a Merthyr Town win it is 1-2 (4.27%).

Result

South Shields 69.97% (-0.02)
Draw 16.71%
Merthyr Town 13.32% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.17%

Goals

Over 1.5 86.27% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 13.73% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 68.18%
Under 2.5 31.82%
Over 3.5 44.49% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 55.51% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 31.1% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 68.9% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

South Shields 56.03%
Draw 29.58%
Merthyr Town 14.39%

Team To Score First

South Shields 71.73%
No Goal 3.09%
Merthyr Town 25.18%

Corners

Over 8 67% (-0.02)
Equal 8 10.19%
Under 8 22.81% (+0.03)
Over 9 55.81% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.19%
Under 9 33% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 44.56% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 55.44% (+0.04)

South Shields Goals

Over 1.5 69.74% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 30.26% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 43.82% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 56.18% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 22.98% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 77.02% (-0.02)

Merthyr Town Goals

Over 0.5 48.84% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 51.16% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 20.63% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 79.37% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 6.2% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 93.8% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.6% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.4% (-0.01)

Score analysis

South Shields 69.97%
Draw 16.72%
Merthyr Town 13.32%
South Shields
2-1 @ 10.46%
2-0 @ 9.27%
3-0 @ 8.15%
1-0 @ 7.79%
3-1 @ 7.44%
3-2 @ 3.99% (-0.01)
Other @ 22.87%
Total : 69.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.45%
2-2 @ 4.81%
0-0 @ 3.09%
3-3 @ 1.26% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.11% (+0.01)
Total : 16.72%
Merthyr Town
1-2 @ 4.27%
0-1 @ 2.86% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.38%
0-2 @ 1.36% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 13.32%

Head to Head

National League North
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Mariners Park
  • Paul Blackett 16' goal
  • Paul Blackett 24' goal
  • Sonny Finch 35' goal
  • Oliver Bainbridge 57' goal
  • yellowcard Lewys Twamley 79'
National League North
Nov 11, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North