National League North Gameweek 4
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mariners Park
  • Cain Sykes 47' goal
  • Robbie Tinkler 65' redcard
  • goal Ben Margetson 81'

South Shields vs Merthyr Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

South Shields

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 18, 2026 7.45pm
Morecambe 0 - 1 South Shields
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Sonny Finch

Merthyr Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 18, 2026 7.45pm
Merthyr Town 2 - 2 Telford
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Jacob Maddox

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Shields win with a probability of 69.97%. A draw had a probability of 16.71% and a win for Merthyr Town had a probability of 13.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Shields win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 3-0 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%) , while for a Merthyr Town win it was 1-2 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result

South Shields 69.97% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 16.71%
Merthyr Town 13.32% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.17%

Goals

Over 1.5 86.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 13.73% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 68.18%
Under 2.5 31.82%
Over 3.5 44.49% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 55.51% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 31.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 68.9% ▼ (-0.01)

First Half Winner

South Shields 56.03%
Draw 29.58%
Merthyr Town 14.39%

Team To Score First

South Shields 71.73%
No Goal 3.09%
Merthyr Town 25.18%

Corners

Over 8 67% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 8 10.19%
Under 8 22.81% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 9 55.81% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.19%
Under 9 33% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 10.5 44.56% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 55.44% ▲ (+0.04)

South Shields Goals

Over 1.5 69.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 30.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 43.82% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 56.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 22.98% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 77.02% ▼ (-0.02)

Merthyr Town Goals

Over 0.5 48.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 51.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 20.63% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 79.37% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 6.2% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 93.8% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.4% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

South Shields 69.97%
Draw 16.72%
Merthyr Town 13.32%
South Shields
2-1 @ 10.46%
2-0 @ 9.27%
3-0 @ 8.15%
1-0 @ 7.79%
3-1 @ 7.44%
3-2 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 22.87%
Total : 69.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.45%
2-2 @ 4.81%
0-0 @ 3.09%
3-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 16.72%
Merthyr Town
1-2 @ 4.27%
0-1 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.38%
0-2 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 13.32%

Head to Head

National League North
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Mariners Park
  • Paul Blackett 16' goal
  • Paul Blackett 24' goal
  • Sonny Finch 35' goal
  • Oliver Bainbridge 57' goal
  • yellowcard Lewys Twamley 79'
National League North
Nov 11, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North