National League North
May 2, 2026 4.00pm
Mariners Park

South Shields vs Buxton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

South Shields

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 12.30pm
Kidderminster 1 - 0 South Shields
Goals scored
94
Top scorer
Paul Blackett

Buxton

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 28, 2026 7.45pm
Buxton 4 - 2 Scarborough Ath
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Johnny Johnston

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a South Shields win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw has a probability of 22.5% and a win for Buxton has a probability of 19.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Shields win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.18%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.55%) , while for a Buxton win it is 1-2 (5.37%).

Result

South Shields 58.2% (+0.91)
Draw 22.5% (-0.11)
Buxton 19.31% (-0.80)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.91% (+1.71)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.38% (+1.72)
Under 1.5 20.62% (-1.72)
Over 2.5 56.61% (+2.51)
Under 2.5 43.39% (-2.51)
Over 3.5 33.92% (+2.13)
Under 3.5 66.08% (-2.13)
Over 4.5 20.74% (+1.74)
Under 4.5 79.26% (-1.74)

First Half Winner

South Shields 45.15% (+45.15)
Draw 34.87% (+34.87)
Buxton 19.98% (+19.98)

Team To Score First

South Shields 62.09% (+62.09)
No Goal 5.27% (+5.27)
Buxton 32.64% (+32.64)

Corners

Over 8 56.94% (+56.94)
Equal 8 11.57% (+11.57)
Under 8 31.49% (+31.49)
Over 9 45.23% (+45.23)
Equal 9 11.71% (+11.71)
Under 9 43.06% (+43.06)
Over 10.5 34.36% (+34.36)
Under 10.5 65.64% (+65.64)

South Shields Goals

Over 1.5 56.3% (+2.00)
Under 1.5 43.7% (-2.00)
Over 2.5 29.59% (+1.70)
Under 2.5 70.41% (-1.71)
Over 3.5 12.57% (+0.96)
Under 3.5 87.43% (-0.95)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5 56.29% (+0.39)
Under 0.5 43.71% (-0.39)
Over 1.5 24.36% (+0.97)
Under 1.5 75.64% (-0.97)
Over 2.5 7.51% (+0.32)
Under 2.5 92.49% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 2.07% (+0.26)
Under 3.5 97.93% (-0.26)

Score analysis

South Shields 58.19%
Draw 22.49%
Buxton 19.3%
South Shields
1-0 @ 10.18% (-0.54)
2-1 @ 10.18% (+0.28)
2-0 @ 9.6% (-0.34)
3-0 @ 6.28% (+0.17)
3-1 @ 6.05% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.54% (+0.50)
Other @ 12.36% (+0.86)
Total : 58.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.55% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 5.31% (+0.38)
0-0 @ 5.27% (-0.56)
3-3 @ 1.15% (+0.14)
Other @ 0.21% (+0.09)
Total : 22.49%
Buxton
1-2 @ 5.37% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 5.15% (-0.66)
0-2 @ 2.63% (-0.27)
1-3 @ 1.81% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.86% (+0.18)
Total : 19.3%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 25
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Silverlands
  • Deniche Hill 26' yellowcard
  • Ryan McLean 67' yellowcard
  • Adriel Walker 67' yellowcard
  • Adriel Walker 72' goal
  • yellowcard Cedwyn Scott 57'
  • goal Dan Ward 59'
  • yellowcard Lemar Gordon 86'
National League North
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 32
Feb 11, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Silverlands
  • Oliver Ewing 87' goal
National League North Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mariners Park
  • Aidan Rutledge 45'+3' goal
  • Aidan Rutledge 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Liam Ravenhill 61'
  • yellowcard Kieran Burton 76'
National League North Gameweek 40
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Silverlands
  • Jak McCourt 58' redcard
  • goal Paul Blackett 34'
  • goal Paul Blackett 83'
National League North Gameweek 17
Nov 7, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mariners Park
  • Paul Blackett 61' goal