National League North
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Mariners Park
  • Adam Campbell 76' goal
  • Paul Blackett 86' goal
  • goal Jack Hazlehurst 2'

South Shields vs Chorley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

South Shields

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Scarborough Ath 0 - 1 South Shields

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Chorley 1 - 2 Chester

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Shields win with a probability of 58.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.61% and a win for Chorley had a probability of 19.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Shields win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%) , while for a Chorley win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

South Shields 58.71%
Draw 21.61%
Chorley 19.68%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.7%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.97%
Under 1.5 22.03%
Over 2.5 54.97%
Under 2.5 45.03%
Over 3.5 33.26%
Under 3.5 66.74%
Over 4.5 21.22%
Under 4.5 78.78%

First Half Winner

South Shields 43.61%
Draw 38.49%
Chorley 17.9%

Team To Score First

South Shields 63.68%
No Goal 6.11%
Chorley 30.21%

Corners

Over 8 51.72%
Equal 8 11.89%
Under 8 36.4%
Over 9 40.18%
Equal 9 11.54%
Under 9 48.28%
Over 10.5 29.87%
Under 10.5 70.13%

South Shields Goals

Over 1.5 55.54%
Under 1.5 44.46%
Over 2.5 29.3%
Under 2.5 70.7%
Over 3.5 13.44%
Under 3.5 86.56%

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5 53.79%
Under 0.5 46.21%
Over 1.5 22.96%
Under 1.5 77.04%
Over 2.5 7.73%
Under 2.5 92.27%
Over 3.5 2.06%
Under 3.5 97.94%

Score analysis

South Shields 58.71%
Draw 21.6%
Chorley 19.69%
South Shields
1-0 @ 10.48%
2-0 @ 10.32%
2-1 @ 9.79%
3-0 @ 5.97%
3-1 @ 5.74%
3-2 @ 3.08%
Other @ 13.33%
Total : 58.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.86%
0-0 @ 6.11%
2-2 @ 4.45%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.6%
Chorley
0-1 @ 5.44%
1-2 @ 4.88%
0-2 @ 2.82%
1-3 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.68%
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 19.69%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 38
Mar 10, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Jack Sampson 16' goal
  • goal Sonny Finch 12'
National League North
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
FA Cup
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 33
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Momodou Touray 21' goal
  • Mark Ellis 50' goal
  • goal Martin Smith 90'+5'
National League North Gameweek 9
Sep 21, 2024 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 0 2
FT Mariners Park
  • Sam Hodgson 18' yellowcard
  • Tom Broadbent 23' yellowcard
  • Mackenzie Heaney 52' goal
  • Sam Hodgson 56' goal
  • Coleby Shepherd 80' yellowcard
  • Sam Hodgson 90'+5' goal
  • Will Jenkins 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Kole Hall 10'
  • goal Momodou Touray 15'
  • goal Mark Ellis 68'
National League North Gameweek 39
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Mariners Park
  • Aaron Martin 21' goal
  • Dylan Stephenson 90'+4' goal
  • goal Carlton Ubaezuonu 47'