National League North Gameweek 1
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley vs Chester FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 12.30pm
Chorley 2 - 1 Worksop

Chester FC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 29, 2026 7.45pm
Macclesfield 2 - 1 Chester

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chester FC win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for Chorley has a probability of 32.22% and a draw has a probability of 26.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Chorley win is 1-0 (8.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.1%).

Result

Chorley 32.22% (-0.01)
Draw 26.48% (-0.01)
Chester FC 41.3% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.58%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.39% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 27.61% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 47.7%
Under 2.5 52.3%
Over 3.5 26.86%
Under 3.5 73.14%
Over 4.5 14.98%
Under 4.5 85.02%

First Half Winner

Chorley 26.58% (-0.02)
Draw 42.17% (+0.02)
Chester FC 31.25%

Team To Score First

Chorley 42.26% (+0.08)
No Goal 8.44%
Chester FC 49.3% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 54.65%
Equal 8 11.84%
Under 8 33.51%
Over 9 42.9%
Equal 9 11.75%
Under 9 45.35%
Over 10.5 32.19%
Under 10.5 67.81%

Chorley Goals

Over 1.5 31.91% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 68.09% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 11.77% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 88.23% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 3.71% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.29% (+0.02)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5 71.6% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 28.4% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 38.88% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 61.12% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 16.29% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 83.71% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.83% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.17% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Chorley 32.21%
Draw 26.49%
Chester FC 41.3%
Chorley
1-0 @ 8.7%
2-1 @ 7.17%
2-0 @ 5.48%
3-1 @ 2.98%
3-2 @ 2.1%
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.7% (-0.01)
Total : 32.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 8.44%
2-2 @ 5.04%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.49%
Chester FC
0-1 @ 10.47% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.34%
0-2 @ 7.11%
1-3 @ 3.86%
0-3 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 2.45%
Other @ 5.82% (+0.02)
Total : 41.3%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 27
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • Matt Urwin 32' goal
  • Declan Weeks 60' goal
  • Dion Kelly-Evans 81' goal
  • Dylan Mottley-Henry 82' yellowcard
  • goal Anjola Popoola 42'
  • yellowcard Thomas Carr 46'
  • yellowcard Taelor O'Kane 70'
  • yellowcard Jack Moore 75'
  • goal Mike Calveley 77'
  • yellowcard Jack Griffiths 89'
  • yellowcard Adam Blakeman 90'+2'
  • goal George Murray-Jones 90'+4' (OG)
National League North
Aug 16, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 37
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Tom Carr 26' goal
  • George Horbury 34' goal
  • Mark Ellis 81' goal
  • goal Tom Peers 14'
  • goal Tom Peers 21'
National League North Gameweek 18
Nov 23, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • Tom Peers 22' goal
  • Kevin Roberts 61' yellowcard
  • Harrison Burke 70' goal
  • Will Hugill 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Carr 85'
National League North Gameweek 30
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • goal Tom Peers 5'
  • goal Tom Peers 38'
National League North Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium