Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macclesfield Town win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macclesfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.64%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 1-2 (7.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.