National League North
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Court Place Farm
  • M. Taylor 53' goal
  • goal Finley Shrimpton 22'
  • goal Tom Davies 25'

Oxford City vs Chester FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford City

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 14, 2026 7.45pm
Hereford 1 - 2 Oxford City
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Ewan Clark

Chester FC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Chester 1 - 0 Fylde
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Finley Shrimpton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-0 (7.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result

Oxford City 30.59% (+0.47)
Draw 25.03% (-1.04)
Chester FC 44.38% (+0.64)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.97% (+0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.19% (+0.76)
Under 1.5 23.81% (-0.77)
Over 2.5 52.55% (+1.06)
Under 2.5 47.45% (-1.06)
Over 3.5 29.85% (+0.46)
Under 3.5 70.15% (-0.45)
Over 4.5 16.76% (+0.41)
Under 4.5 83.24% (-0.41)

First Half Winner

Oxford City 24.44% (-0.08)
Draw 41.03% (-1.27)
Chester FC 34.53% (+1.35)

Team To Score First

Oxford City 40.8% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.85% (-0.21)
Chester FC 52.35% (+0.20)

Corners

Over 8 52.73% (-2.17)
Equal 8 11.8% (-0.09)
Under 8 35.47% (+2.25)
Over 9 41.17% (-1.90)
Equal 9 11.56% (-0.28)
Under 9 47.27% (+2.17)
Over 10.5 30.76% (-1.49)
Under 10.5 69.24% (+1.49)

Oxford City Goals

Over 1.5 32.49% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 67.51% (-0.37)
Over 2.5 12.16% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 87.84% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 3.62% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 96.38% (-0.06)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5 75.18% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 24.82% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 44.02% (+0.74)
Under 1.5 55.98% (-0.74)
Over 2.5 19.58% (+0.61)
Under 2.5 80.42% (-0.61)
Over 3.5 6.93% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 93.07% (-0.16)

Score analysis

Oxford City 30.59%
Draw 25.04%
Chester FC 44.37%
Oxford City
1-0 @ 7.65% (-0.12)
2-1 @ 7.38% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 4.68% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 2.95% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.29% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 2.14% (+0.14)
Other @ 3.5% (+0.15)
Total : 30.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.52% (-0.52)
0-0 @ 6.85% (-0.21)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.19)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.12% (-0.10)
Total : 25.04%
Chester FC
0-1 @ 9.31% (-0.38)
1-2 @ 9.31% (+0.14)
0-2 @ 7.45% (+0.15)
1-3 @ 4.75% (+0.21)
0-3 @ 3.86% (+0.18)
2-3 @ 2.88% (+0.11)
Other @ 6.81% (+0.25)
Total : 44.37%

Head to Head

National League North
Aug 25, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 35
Feb 25, 2025 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Court Place Farm
National League North Gameweek 19
Nov 26, 2024 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • Tom Peers 13' goal
  • Tom Peers 39' goal
  • Jordan Hunter 83' yellowcard
  • Tom Peers 85' goal
  • goal Jalen Jones 52'
  • yellowcard Jalen Jones 67'
  • yellowcard Aaron Drewe 69'
  • yellowcard Josh Ashby 89'