National League North Gameweek 3
Aug 18, 2026 7.45pm
The Marine Travel Arena

Marine AFC vs Chorley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Marine AFC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Hereford 1 - 0 Marine AFC

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
South Shields 2 - 1 Chorley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Marine AFC win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Chorley has a probability of 34.67% and a draw has a probability of 26.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marine AFC win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Chorley win is 0-1 (9.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.29%).

Result

Marine AFC 38.37% (-0.11)
Draw 26.96% (+0.06)
Chorley 34.67% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.46% (-0.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.13% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 28.87% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 46.92% (-0.26)
Under 2.5 53.08% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 25.01% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 74.94% (+0.21)
Over 4.5 13.47% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 86.53% (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Marine AFC 31.02%
Draw 43.4%
Chorley 25.57%

Team To Score First

Marine AFC 48.35% (-0.05)
No Goal 8.73% (+0.09)
Chorley 42.92% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 56.7%
Equal 8 12.08%
Under 8 31.21%
Over 9 44.48%
Equal 9 12.23%
Under 9 43.3%
Over 10.5 33.19%
Under 10.5 66.81%

Marine AFC Goals

Over 1.5 36.37% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 63.63% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 13.91% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 86.09% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 4.43% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 95.57% (+0.07)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5 67.27% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 32.73% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 32.92% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 67.08% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 12.52% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 87.48% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 3.69% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 96.31% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Marine AFC 38.36%
Draw 26.97%
Chorley 34.67%
Marine AFC
1-0 @ 10.24% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.49% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.89% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.38% (-0.08)
Total : 38.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.29% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.73% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 26.97%
Chorley
0-1 @ 9.9% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 7.77%
0-2 @ 5.43% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.58% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.64% (-0.03)
Total : 34.67%

Head to Head

National League North
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT The Marine Travel Arena
  • Finlay Sinclair-Smith 12' goal
  • Charlie Jolley 31' goal
  • goal Owen German 71'
National League North
Dec 30, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mike Calveley 35' goal
  • Harry Ibbitson 77' goal
  • goal Adam Thomas 59'
National League North Gameweek 43
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
National League North Gameweek 16
Nov 5, 2024 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Marine Travel Arena
  • Owen Robinson 23' yellowcard
  • Enock Lusiama 41' goal
  • Harvey Gregson 50' yellowcard
  • Enock Lusiama 56' goal
  • Finlay Sinclair-Smith 62' goal
  • James Butler 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harvey Smith 81'
  • yellowcard Jack Moore 85'