National League North Gameweek 4
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Harvey Smith 65' goal
  • Mike Calveley 81' goal
  • goal Rio Allan 59'

Chorley vs Scarborough Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 18, 2026 7.45pm
Marine AFC 0 - 2 Chorley
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Mike Calveley

Scarborough Athletic

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Aug 18, 2026 7.45pm
Scarborough Ath 3 - 0 Spennymoor
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Rio Allan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 36.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Chorley win was 1-0 (9.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result

Chorley 36.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 25.67% ▼ (-0.01)
Scarborough Athletic 37.62% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.08%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.65%
Under 1.5 25.35%
Over 2.5 50.77% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 49.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 29.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 70.82% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 16.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 83.63% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Chorley 29.25%
Draw 43.96%
Scarborough Athletic 26.78%

Team To Score First

Chorley 47.21% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 7.39%
Scarborough Athletic 45.4% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 55.3% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 8 11.42%
Under 8 33.28% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 43.88% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.41%
Under 9 44.7% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 10.5 33.39% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 10.5 66.61% ▼ (-0.02)

Chorley Goals

Over 1.5 36.74% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 63.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 14.48%
Under 2.5 85.52%
Over 3.5 4.59%
Under 3.5 95.41%

Scarborough Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 70.45% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 29.55% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 37.93% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 62.07% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 15.52% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 84.48% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 5.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.55% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Chorley 36.7%
Draw 25.67%
Scarborough Athletic 37.62%
Chorley
1-0 @ 9.08% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.23%
2-0 @ 5.92% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.62%
3-2 @ 2.7%
3-0 @ 2.57%
Other @ 4.58%
Total : 36.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.8% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.39%
2-2 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.67%
Scarborough Athletic
0-1 @ 8.87%
1-2 @ 8.08%
0-2 @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.72%
0-3 @ 2.71%
2-3 @ 2.64%
Other @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 37.62%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 41
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Flamingo Land Stadium
National League North
Aug 19, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
LIVE
National League North Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2025 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Flamingo Land Stadium
  • William Thornton 34' goal
  • Alex Purver 58' goal
  • goal Dubem Eze 44'
  • goal Mike Calveley 63'
  • goal Mark Ellis 70'
National League North Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Craig Hewitt 10' goal
  • Craig Hewitt 36' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kieran Weledji 28'
  • goal Richie Bennett 50'
  • yellowcard Alex Purver 54'
  • goal Frank Mulhern 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Frank Mulhern 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Cameron Wilson 90'+4'
National League North Gameweek 40
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Jack Hazlehurst 45'+1' goal
  • Mike Calveley 56' goal
  • Carlton Ubaezuonu 86' goal
National League North Gameweek 17
Nov 7, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Flamingo Land Stadium
  • Kieran Weledji 59' goal
  • goal Carlton Ubaezuonu 27'