Champions League Gameweek 8
Napoli
Jan 28, 2026 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Chelsea
  • Antonio Vergara 33' goal
  • Rasmus Hojlund 43' goal
  • Miguel Gutierrez 67' yellowcard
  • Romelu Lukaku 82' yellowcard
  • Sam Beukema 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Enzo Fernandez 19'
  • yellowcard Cole Palmer 46'
  • yellowcard Trevoh Chalobah 59'
  • yellowcard Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 59'
  • goal Joao Pedro 61'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Garnacho 74'
  • goal Joao Pedro 82'
  • yellowcard Benoit Badiashile 90'

Napoli vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 20, 2026 8.00pm
Copenhagen 1 - 1 Napoli

Chelsea

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 21, 2026 8.00pm
Chelsea 1 - 0 Pafos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 0-1 (9.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result

Napoli 38.34% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 25.85%
Chelsea 35.82% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.71% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.81%
Under 1.5 27.19%
Over 2.5 48.68% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 51.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 25.28% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 74.72% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 13.85%
Under 4.5 86.15%

First Half Winner

Napoli 31.75%
Draw 39.3%
Chelsea 28.95%

Team To Score First

Napoli 52.31% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 7.85% ▼ (-0.02)
Chelsea 39.84%

Corners

Over 8 50.54%
Equal 8 11.77%
Under 8 37.7%
Over 9 39.2%
Equal 9 11.33%
Under 9 49.46%
Over 10.5 29.15%
Under 10.5 70.85%

Napoli Goals

Over 1.5 36.58% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 63.42% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 14.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 85.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.63% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.37% ▲ (+0.02)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 68.13% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 31.87% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 34.46% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 65.54% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 13.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 86.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.92% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.08% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Napoli 38.34%
Draw 25.84%
Chelsea 35.82%
Napoli
1-0 @ 9.81%
2-1 @ 8.91%
2-0 @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.29%
3-1 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 2.19%
Other @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 38.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.01% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.85% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.86% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 25.84%
Chelsea
0-1 @ 9.53% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.51%
0-2 @ 5.8% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 2.07%
Other @ 3.88% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 35.82%

Form Data

Juventus 3 - 0 Napoli
Copenhagen 1 - 1 Napoli
Napoli 1 - 0 Sassuolo
Napoli 0 - 0 Parma
Inter Milan 2 - 2 Napoli
Napoli 2 - 2 Hellas Verona
Crystal Palace 0 - 0 Chelsea
Chelsea 1 - 0 Pafos
Chelsea 0 - 0 Brentford
Chelsea 2 - 3 Arsenal
Charlton 1 - 5 Chelsea
Fulham 2 - 1 Chelsea

Build-up

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