Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for New York City FC has a probability of 36.52% and a draw has a probability of 24.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (5.59%). The likeliest New York City FC win is 1-2 (8.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.02%).