Major League Soccer
May 17, 2026 12.30am
Sports Illustrated Stadium

New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 9, 2026 7.30pm
Chicago Fire 1 - 3 NY Red Bulls
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Julian Hall

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 10, 2026 9.30pm
NY City 3 - 0 Columbus Crew
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Nicolás Fernández Mercau

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for New York City FC has a probability of 36.52% and a draw has a probability of 24.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (5.59%). The likeliest New York City FC win is 1-2 (8.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.02%).

Result

New York Red Bulls 38.8%
Draw 24.71%
New York City FC 36.52%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.67%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.27%
Under 1.5 19.73%
Over 2.5 58.35%
Under 2.5 41.65%
Over 3.5 35.87%
Under 3.5 64.13%
Over 4.5 20.85%
Under 4.5 79.15%

First Half Winner

New York Red Bulls 33.79%
Draw 37.14%
New York City FC 29.07%

Team To Score First

New York Red Bulls 49%
No Goal 5.19%
New York City FC 45.81%

Corners

Over 8 62.54%
Equal 8 11.58%
Under 8 25.88%
Over 9 50.24%
Equal 9 12.31%
Under 9 37.46%
Over 10.5 38.36%
Under 10.5 61.64%

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 1.5 42.88%
Under 1.5 57.12%
Over 2.5 19.11%
Under 2.5 80.89%
Over 3.5 6.93%
Under 3.5 93.07%

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 72.19%
Under 0.5 27.81%
Over 1.5 41.19%
Under 1.5 58.81%
Over 2.5 17.6%
Under 2.5 82.4%
Over 3.5 6.14%
Under 3.5 93.86%

Score analysis

New York Red Bulls 38.8%
Draw 24.71%
New York City FC 36.53%
New York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 8.54%
1-0 @ 7.48%
2-0 @ 5.59%
3-1 @ 4.34%
3-2 @ 3.26%
3-0 @ 2.89%
Other @ 6.7%
Total : 38.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.02%
2-2 @ 6.58%
0-0 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.71%
New York City FC
1-2 @ 8.45%
0-1 @ 7.1%
0-2 @ 5.3%
1-3 @ 4.11%
2-3 @ 3.06%
0-3 @ 2.6%
Other @ 5.91%
Total : 36.53%

Head to Head

US Open Cup
Apr 30, 2026 12.00am
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Sports Illustrated Stadium
  • Julian Hall 14' goal
  • Nehuén Benedetti 66' yellowcard
  • Juan Mina 66' yellowcard
  • Rafael Mosquera 67' yellowcard
  • Eric-Maxim Choupo-Moting 78' yellowcard
  • Mohammed Sofo  78' yellowcard
  • Mohammed Sofo  80' yellowcard
  • goal Kai Trewin 9'
  • goal Raul Gustavo 39'
  • yellowcard Talles Magno 46'
  • goal Thiago Martins 57'
  • yellowcard Andrés Perea 87'
  • yellowcard Arnau Farnós 90'+2'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Sep 28, 2025 12.30am
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
May 17, 2025 9.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Citi Field
  • Alonso Martinez 13' goal
  • Julian Fernandez 30' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Moralez 50' goal
  • yellowcard Noah Eile 42'
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 54'
  • yellowcard Kyle Duncan 62'
MLS Playoffs
Nov 23, 2024 10.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Citi Field
  • James Sands 34' yellowcard
  • Kevin O'Toole 39' yellowcard
  • goal Felipe Carballo 16'
  • goal Dante Vanzeir 25'
  • yellowcard Daniel Edelman 28'
Major League Soccer
Sep 29, 2024 12.30am
1
5
HT : 2 8
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Andres Reyes 14' yellowcard
  • Andres Reyes 14' yellowcard
  • Sandro Schwarz 15' yellowcard
  • Sandro Schwarz 15' yellowcard
  • Dante Vanzeir 28' goal
  • Dante Vanzeir 28' goal
  • Peter Stroud 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Peter Stroud 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Maximiliano Moralez 5'
  • goal Maximiliano Moralez 5'
  • goal Alonso Martinez 7'
  • goal Alonso Martinez 7'
  • goal Andres Perea 30'
  • goal Andres Perea 30'
  • goal Alonso Martinez 45'+5'
  • goal Alonso Martinez 45'+5'
  • goal Tayvon Gray 67'
  • goal Tayvon Gray 67'
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 12.30am
2
1
HT : 2 2
FT Citi Field
  • Hannes Wolf 3' goal
  • Hannes Wolf 3' goal
  • James Sands 32' yellowcard
  • James Sands 32' yellowcard
  • Monsef Bakrar 64' goal
  • Monsef Bakrar 64' goal
  • yellowcard Cameron Harper 25'
  • yellowcard Cameron Harper 25'
  • goal Cameron Harper 45'+1'
  • goal Cameron Harper 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Frankie Amaya 66'
  • yellowcard Frankie Amaya 66'
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 67'
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 67'
  • yellowcard John Tolkin 90'
  • yellowcard John Tolkin 90'
  • yellowcard Sandro Schwarz 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Sandro Schwarz 90'+2'
  • redcard Sean Nealis 90'+3'
  • redcard Sean Nealis 90'+3'