Major League Soccer
Jul 23, 2026 12.30am
Subaru Park

Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 25, 2026 12.00am
Inter Miami 6 - 4 Philadelphia
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Milan Iloski

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 24, 2026 1.30am
Kansas 1 - 2 NY Red Bulls
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Julian Hall

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for New York Red Bulls has a probability of 29.36% and a draw has a probability of 24.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win is 0-1 (7.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.67%).

Result

Philadelphia Union 45.85% (+0.04)
Draw 24.79% (-0.04)
New York Red Bulls 29.36% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.38%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.57% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 24.43% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 51.92% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 48.08% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 30.14% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 69.86% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 17.18% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 82.82% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Philadelphia Union 41.95%
Draw 37.51% (-0.03)
New York Red Bulls 20.54% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Philadelphia Union 57.93% (+0.04)
No Goal 6.64% (-0.02)
New York Red Bulls 35.43% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 64.82% (+0.63)
Equal 8 10.75% (-0.03)
Under 8 24.44% (-0.59)
Over 9 53.23% (+0.60)
Equal 9 11.59% (+0.03)
Under 9 35.18% (-0.64)
Over 10.5 41.8% (+0.51)
Under 10.5 58.2% (-0.51)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 1.5 44.5%
Under 1.5 55.5%
Over 2.5 20.84% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 79.16% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 7.97%
Under 3.5 92.03%

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5 64.07% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 35.93% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 30.8% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 69.2% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 11.31% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 88.69% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.36% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.64% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Philadelphia Union 45.85%
Draw 24.78%
New York Red Bulls 29.35%
Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 9.98%
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.38% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.92% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.1% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.77% (+0.03)
Other @ 7.81% (+0.02)
Total : 45.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.67%
0-0 @ 6.64% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16% (-0.02)
Total : 24.78%
New York Red Bulls
0-1 @ 7.79%
1-2 @ 6.87% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.62% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.8% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.2% (+0.02)
Total : 29.35%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Aug 17, 2025 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
US Open Cup
Aug 14, 2025 12.30am
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2025 12.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Sep 1, 2024 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 4
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Sandro Schwarz 56' yellowcard
  • Sandro Schwarz 56' yellowcard
  • goal Mikael Uhre 4'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 4'
  • goal Tai Baribo 14'
  • goal Tai Baribo 14'
  • yellowcard Tai Baribo 55'
  • yellowcard Tai Baribo 55'
  • yellowcard Andre Blake 76'
  • yellowcard Andre Blake 76'
Major League Soccer
Jul 7, 2024 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Talen Energy Stadium
  • Alejandro Bedoya 86' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Bedoya 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Edelman 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Daniel Edelman 45'+2'
Major League Soccer
Sep 4, 2023 12.30am
4
1
HT : 3 2
FT Subaru Park
  • Jakob Glesnes 29' goal
  • Jakob Glesnes 29' goal
  • Damion Lowe 37' yellowcard
  • Jack McGlynn 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Damion Lowe 57' goal
  • Damion Lowe 57' goal
  • Julian Carranza 58' goal
  • Julian Carranza 59' goal
  • Jonathan Jimenez 36'+36' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 76' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 76' goal
  • Alejandro Bedoya 80' yellowcard
  • Tai Baribo 85' yellowcard
  • MD Myers 69'+69' goal
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 6'
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 6'
  • yellowcard Troy Lesesne 7'
  • goal Omir Fernandez 11'
  • goal Omir Fernandez 11'
  • yellowcard Andres Reyes 24'
  • yellowcard Andres Reyes 24'
  • redcard Sean Nealis 44'