Major League Soccer
May 25, 2026 12.00am
Chase Stadium

Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 17, 2026 11.00pm
Inter Miami 2 - 0 Portland
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Lionel Messi 

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 17, 2026 12.30am
Philadelphia 1 - 1 Columbus Crew
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Milan Iloski

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inter Miami win with a probability of 59.59%. A draw has a probability of 21.97% and a win for Philadelphia Union has a probability of 18.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.64%) , while for a Philadelphia Union win it is 0-1 (5.02%).

Result

Inter Miami 59.59% (+0.05)
Draw 21.97%
Philadelphia Union 18.44% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.22%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.4% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 20.6% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 58.12% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 41.88% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 36.37% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 63.63% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 23.13%
Under 4.5 76.87%

First Half Winner

Inter Miami 46.29% (+0.08)
Draw 34.48% (-0.07)
Philadelphia Union 19.23%

Team To Score First

Inter Miami 63.01% (-0.02)
No Goal 5.58%
Philadelphia Union 31.41% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 55.86% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.41% (-0.01)
Under 8 32.73%
Over 9 44.4% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.46%
Under 9 44.14% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 33.82% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 66.18% (-0.02)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 1.5 58.01% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 41.99% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 31.98% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 68.02% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 14.44% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 85.56% (-0.04)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 54.76% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 45.24% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 23.88% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 76.12% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 7.5% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 92.5% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.08% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.92% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Inter Miami 59.59%
Draw 21.98%
Philadelphia Union 18.44%
Inter Miami
1-0 @ 10.01% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.84% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.22% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.38%
3-0 @ 6.11% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.7% (-0.01)
Other @ 14.33% (+0.05)
Total : 59.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.64% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.58%
2-2 @ 5.3% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.98%
Philadelphia Union
0-1 @ 5.02% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 4.97% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.97% (-0.03)
Total : 18.44%

Head to Head

MLS Playoffs
May 25, 2025 12.30am
3
3
HT : 4 0
FT Subaru Park
  • Quinn Sullivan 7' goal
  • Quinn Sullivan 7' goal
  • Indiana Vassilev 41' yellowcard
  • Indiana Vassilev 41' yellowcard
  • Tai Baribo 44' goal
  • Tai Baribo 44' goal
  • Tai Baribo 73' goal
  • Tai Baribo 73' goal
  • Jesus Bueno 75' yellowcard
  • Jesus Bueno 75' yellowcard
  • Jakob Glesnes 86' yellowcard
  • Jakob Glesnes 86' yellowcard
  • Danley Jean Jacques 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Danley Jean Jacques 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ian Fray 41'
  • yellowcard Ian Fray 41'
  • goal Tadeo Allende 60'
  • goal Tadeo Allende 60'
  • yellowcard Jordi Alba 76'
  • yellowcard Jordi Alba 76'
  • goal Lionel Messi 87'
  • goal Lionel Messi 87'
  • yellowcard Federico Redondo 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Federico Redondo 90'+2'
  • goal Telasco Segovia 90'+5'
  • goal Telasco Segovia 90'+5'
Major League Soccer
Mar 29, 2025 11.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Benjamin Cremaschi 21' yellowcard
  • Robert Taylor 23' goal
  • Lionel Messi 57' goal
  • Yannick Bright 76' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Falcon 79' yellowcard
  • Sergio Busquets 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Jordi Alba 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tai Baribo 45'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 80'
  • yellowcard Jakob Glesnes 88'
Major League Soccer
Sep 15, 2024 12.30am
3
1
HT : 4 2
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Lionel Messi 26' goal
  • Lionel Messi 26' goal
  • Lionel Messi 30' goal
  • Lionel Messi 30' goal
  • Tomas Aviles 32' yellowcard
  • Tomas Aviles 32' yellowcard
  • Gerardo Martino 33' yellowcard
  • Gerardo Martino 33' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez 75' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez 75' yellowcard
  • Lionel Messi 87' yellowcard
  • Lionel Messi 87' yellowcard
  • Sergio Busquets 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Sergio Busquets 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez 90'+8' goal
  • Luis Suarez 90'+8' goal
  • goal Mikael Uhre 2'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 2'
  • yellowcard Jack Elliott 56'
  • yellowcard Jack Elliott 56'
  • yellowcard Quinn Sullivan 72'
  • yellowcard Quinn Sullivan 72'
Major League Soccer
Jun 16, 2024 12.30am
1
2
HT : 2 0
FT Subaru Park
  • Mikael Uhre 3' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 3' goal
  • Alejandro Bedoya 34' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Bedoya 34' yellowcard
  • Kai Wagner 64' yellowcard
  • Kai Wagner 64' yellowcard
  • Leon Flach 83' yellowcard
  • Leon Flach 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Ruiz 32'
  • yellowcard David Ruiz 32'
  • goal Julian Gressel 47'
  • goal Julian Gressel 47'
  • yellowcard Tomas Aviles 66'
  • yellowcard Tomas Aviles 66'
  • redcard David Ruiz 69'
  • redcard David Ruiz 69'
  • yellowcard Mikael Uhre 82'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Campana 82'
  • yellowcard Jordi Alba 83'
  • yellowcard Jordi Alba 83'
  • redcard Tomas Aviles 84'
  • redcard Tomas Aviles 84'
  • goal Leonardo Afonso 90'+4'
  • goal Leonardo Afonso 90'+4'
Major League Soccer
Jun 25, 2023 12.30am
4
1
HT : 6 0
FT Subaru Park
  • Jakob Glesnes 14' goal
  • Jakob Glesnes 14' goal
  • Julian Carranza 39' goal
  • Julian Carranza 39' goal
  • Leon Flach 45'+4' goal
  • Leon Flach 45'+4' goal
  • David Ruiz 68' goal
  • David Ruiz 68' goal
  • goal Robert Taylor 50'
  • goal Robert Taylor 50'
Major League Soccer
Mar 5, 2023 12.30am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Corentin Jean 32' goal
  • Robert Taylor 77' goal