Major League Soccer
NY City
Aug 16, 2026 11.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT Yankee Stadium
Philadelphia
  • Bénie Traoré 4' goal
  • Luighi 43' yellowcard
  • Luighi 45'+2' goal
  • Tayvon Gray 79' yellowcard
  • Malachi Jones 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Harriel 16'
  • yellowcard Jovan Lukić 44'
  • goal Danley Jean Jacques 48'
  • yellowcard Milan Iloski 50'
  • goal Bruno Damiani 69'
  • goal Bruno Damiani 75'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 85'

New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 12.30am
NY City 1 - 1 Toronto
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Nicolás Fernández Mercau

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 12.30am
Philadelphia 3 - 2 Atlanta
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Milan Iloski

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 48.63%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result

New York City FC 48.63% ▼ (-1.40)
Draw 23.77% ▲ (+0.09)
Philadelphia Union 27.6% ▲ (+1.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.7% ▲ (+1.00)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.25% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 1.5 17.75% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 61.66% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 2.5 38.34% ▼ (-0.46)
Over 3.5 38.72% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 3.5 61.28% ▼ (-0.26)
Over 4.5 23.62% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 76.38% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

New York City FC 39.83% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 36.37% ▼ (-1.03)
Philadelphia Union 23.8% ▲ (+0.93)

Team To Score First

New York City FC 55.98% ▼ (-0.73)
No Goal 4.71% ▼ (-0.05)
Philadelphia Union 39.31% ▲ (+0.78)

Corners

Over 8 54.53% ▲ (+0.64)
Equal 8 11.66% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 8 33.81% ▼ (-0.75)
Over 9 42.96% ▲ (+0.49)
Equal 9 11.57% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 9 45.47% ▼ (-0.64)
Over 10.5 32.42% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 10.5 67.58% ▼ (-0.33)

New York City FC Goals

Over 1.5 52.61% ▼ (-0.90)
Under 1.5 47.39% ▲ (+0.90)
Over 2.5 26.64% ▼ (-0.63)
Under 2.5 73.36% ▲ (+0.63)
Over 3.5 11.35% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 3.5 88.65% ▲ (+0.45)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 65.74% ▲ (+1.25)
Under 0.5 34.26% ▼ (-1.25)
Over 1.5 34.6% ▲ (+1.49)
Under 1.5 65.4% ▼ (-1.48)
Over 2.5 13.77% ▲ (+0.76)
Under 2.5 86.23% ▼ (-0.76)
Over 3.5 4.43% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 3.5 95.57% ▼ (-0.36)

Score analysis

New York City FC 48.65%
Draw 23.77%
Philadelphia Union 27.6%
New York City FC
2-1 @ 9.88% ▼ (-0.12)
1-0 @ 7.66% ▼ (-0.18)
2-0 @ 6.69% ▼ (-0.38)
3-1 @ 5.54% ▼ (-0.10)
3-0 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.18)
3-2 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 10.89% ▼ (-0.45)
Total : 48.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.32% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 6.52% ▲ (+0.15)
0-0 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.46% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 23.77%
Philadelphia Union
1-2 @ 7.09% ▲ (+0.38)
0-1 @ 5.4% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 3.56% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.14)
2-3 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.35)
Total : 27.6%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Mar 1, 2026 9.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Subaru Park
NY City
  • Ben Bender 59' yellowcard
  • Stas Korzeniowski 59' yellowcard
  • Stas Kornzeniowski 59' yellowcard
  • Cavan Sullivan 83' yellowcard
  • 83' yellowcard
  • Sal Olivas 83' yellowcard
  • Sal Olivas 84' yellowcard
  • Indiana Vassilev 89' yellowcard
  • Geiner Martínez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Hannes Wolf 36'
  • yellowcard Seymour Reid 74'
  • yellowcard Drew Baiera 83'
  • yellowcard Kai Trewin 83'
  • yellowcard Hannes Wolf 83'
  • yellowcard Talles Magno 89'
  • goal Tayvon Gray 90'+9'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Philadelphia
Nov 24, 2025 12.45am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
NY City
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Philadelphia
Oct 5, 2025 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
NY City
Major League Soccer
NY City
Apr 13, 2025 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Citi Field
Philadelphia
  • Alonso Martinez 55' goal
  • yellowcard Olwethu Makhanya 33'
  • yellowcard Francis Westfield 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
NY City
Sep 19, 2024 12.30am
1
5
HT : 2 6
FT Yankee Stadium
Philadelphia
  • Alonso Martinez 45'+5' goal
  • Alonso Martinez 45'+5' goal
  • Strahinja Tanasijevic 51' yellowcard
  • Strahinja Tanasijevic 51' yellowcard
  • Kevin O'Toole 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Kevin O'Toole 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Tai Baribo 15'
  • goal Tai Baribo 15'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 25'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 25'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 31'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 31'
  • yellowcard Daniel Gazdag 42'
  • yellowcard Daniel Gazdag 42'
  • goal Jakob Glesnes 73'
  • goal Jakob Glesnes 74'
  • goal Jesus Bueno 85'
  • goal Jesus Bueno 85'
Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
May 16, 2024 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 4
FT Subaru Park
NY City
  • Kai Wagner 45' yellowcard
  • Kai Wagner 45' yellowcard
  • Julian Carranza 47' goal
  • Julian Carranza 48' goal
  • Jack Elliott 71' yellowcard
  • Jack Elliott 71' yellowcard
  • goal Alonso Martinez 2'
  • goal Alonso Martinez 2'
  • goal Hannes Wolf 45'+2'
  • goal Hannes Wolf 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Santiago Rodriguez 51'
  • yellowcard Santiago Rodriguez 51'
  • yellowcard Agustin Ojeda 62'
  • yellowcard Agustin Ojeda 62'
  • yellowcard Andres Perea 78'
  • yellowcard Andres Perea 78'
  • yellowcard Monsef Bakrar 87'
  • yellowcard Monsef Bakrar 87'
  • yellowcard Malachi Jones 90'
  • yellowcard Malachi Jones 90'

Form Data

NY City 1 - 2 Necaxa
Cruz Azul 2 - 1 NY City
NY City 2 - 0 Santos Laguna
NY City 1 - 1 Toronto
NY City 3 - 1 Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew 1 - 2 NY City
Philadelphia 0 - 2 Santos Laguna
Philadelphia 3 - 1 Necaxa
Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Philadelphia
Philadelphia 3 - 2 Atlanta
Philadelphia 1 - 0 Seattle
Philadelphia 3 - 1 NY Red Bulls