Major League Soccer
May 24, 2026 1.30am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT GEODIS Park
  • Jeison Palacios 16' goal
  • Maxwell Woledzi 49' goal
  • Sam Surridge 71' yellowcard
  • Sam Surridge 72' yellowcard
  • Charles-Emile Brunet 79' yellowcard
  • Alex Muyl 79' yellowcard
  • Alex Muyl 80' yellowcard
  • Josh Bauer 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolás Fernández Mercau 23'
  • yellowcard Hannes Wolf 66'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Shore 66'
  • yellowcard Máximo Carrizo 78'
  • yellowcard Seymour Reid 85'
  • yellowcard Kevin Pierre Jr. 85'

Nashville SC vs New York City FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 18, 2026 1.00am
Nashville 3 - 2 Los Angeles
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Sam Surridge

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 17, 2026 12.30am
NY Red Bulls 1 - 1 NY City
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Nicolás Fernández Mercau

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nashville SC win with a probability of 51.28%. A draw has a probability of 25.36% and a win for New York City FC has a probability of 23.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.46%) , while for a New York City FC win it is 0-1 (6.9%).

Result

Nashville SC 51.28% (-0.04)
Draw 25.36%
New York City FC 23.36% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.7%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.4% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25.6% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 50.89%
Under 2.5 49.11%
Over 3.5 29.12%
Under 3.5 70.88%
Over 4.5 16.83% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.17% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Nashville SC 40.67%
Draw 37.99%
New York City FC 21.34%

Team To Score First

Nashville SC 56.48%
No Goal 7.45%
New York City FC 36.07%

Corners

Over 8 57.11%
Equal 8 11.99%
Under 8 30.9%
Over 9 44.94%
Equal 9 12.17%
Under 9 42.89%
Over 10.5 33.66%
Under 10.5 66.34%

Nashville SC Goals

Over 1.5 48.24% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 51.76% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 22.85% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 77.15% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.89% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.11% (+0.02)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 58.89% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 41.11% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 25.85% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 74.15% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 8.38% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 91.62% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.36%
Under 3.5 97.64%

Score analysis

Nashville SC 51.29%
Draw 25.35%
New York City FC 23.37%
Nashville SC
1-0 @ 11.26% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.64%
2-0 @ 8.73% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.04%
3-0 @ 4.95%
3-2 @ 2.94%
Other @ 8.73% (-0.01)
Total : 51.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.46%
0-0 @ 7.45%
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.35%
New York City FC
0-1 @ 6.9% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.97% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.31%
1-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 1.22% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 23.37%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Aug 17, 2025 10.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
May 31, 2025 9.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Sam Surridge 27' goal
  • Sam Surridge 41' goal
  • Bryan Acosta 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aiden O'Neill 40'
  • goal Hannes Wolf 54'
  • yellowcard Strahinja Tanasijevic 74'
  • yellowcard Keaton Parks 83'
  • goal Hannes Wolf 87'
Major League Soccer
Oct 6, 2024 9.25pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Santiago Rodriguez 1' goal
  • Santiago Rodriguez 19' goal
  • Alonso Martinez 21' goal
  • yellowcard Walker Zimmerman 45'+2'
  • goal Duncan Williams 58'
  • yellowcard Patrick Yazbek 60'
Major League Soccer
Jun 23, 2024 1.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT First Tennessee Park
  • Tyler Boyd 23' goal
  • Tyler Boyd 23' goal
  • yellowcard Santiago Rodriguez 26'
  • yellowcard Santiago Rodriguez 26'
  • yellowcard Tayvon Gray 86'
  • yellowcard Tayvon Gray 86'
Major League Soccer
Apr 16, 2023 12.30am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Yankee Stadium
  • Keaton Parks 11' goal
  • Maxime Chanot 25' goal
  • goal Duncan Williams 81'
Major League Soccer
Feb 25, 2023 9.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT First Tennessee Park
  • Walker Zimmerman 34' goal
  • Jacob Shaffelburg 80' goal