Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (7.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.