Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (8.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.