Major League Soccer
Jul 26, 2026 12.30am
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Yankee Stadium
  • Nicolás Fernández Mercau 10' goal
  • Agustín Ojeda 29' goal
  • Malachi Jones 41' goal
  • Nicolás Fernández Mercau 62' yellowcard
  • goal Joel Waterman 21'
  • yellowcard Djé D'Avilla 51'
  • yellowcard Joel Waterman 77'
  • yellowcard Puso Dithejane 80'

New York City FC vs Chicago Fire - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 12.30am
Columbus Crew 1 - 2 NY City
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Nicolás Fernández Mercau

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 12.30am
Inter Miami 3 - 2 Chicago Fire
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Hugo Cuypers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.91%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (8.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result

New York City FC 40.16%
Draw 23.64%
Chicago Fire 36.23% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.74% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.49% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 17.51% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 61.75% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 38.25% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 38.91% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 61.09% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 23.66% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 76.34% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

New York City FC 38.7%
Draw 37.67%
Chicago Fire 23.63%

Team To Score First

New York City FC 54.94%
No Goal 4.41%
Chicago Fire 40.65%

Corners

Over 8 65.37%
Equal 8 10.61%
Under 8 24.02%
Over 9 53.88%
Equal 9 11.49%
Under 9 34.63%
Over 10.5 42.5%
Under 10.5 57.5%

New York City FC Goals

Over 1.5 45.29% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 54.71% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 21.15% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 78.85% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 7.98% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 92.02% (+0.02)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5 72.21% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 27.79% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 42.3%
Under 1.5 57.7%
Over 2.5 19.31% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 80.69% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.34% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.66% (+0.01)

Score analysis

New York City FC 40.17%
Draw 23.63%
Chicago Fire 36.24%
New York City FC
2-1 @ 8.76%
1-0 @ 6.91% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.51% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.48%
3-2 @ 3.51%
3-0 @ 3.31%
Other @ 7.69% (-0.01)
Total : 40.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.44% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.62%
0-0 @ 4.41%
3-3 @ 1.87% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.29% (-0.02)
Total : 23.63%
Chicago Fire
1-2 @ 8.07%
0-1 @ 6.23% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.79% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.15%
2-3 @ 3.25%
0-3 @ 2.7%
Other @ 7.05%
Total : 36.24%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Sep 14, 2025 1.30am
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
May 25, 2025 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Yankee Stadium
  • Justin Haak 14' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Moralez 28' yellowcard
  • Tayvon Gray 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Thiago Martins 56' yellowcard
  • Monsef Bakrar 58' goal
  • Hannes Wolf 70' goal
  • Alonso Martinez 89' goal
  • goal Philip Zinckernagel 19'
  • redcard Brian Gutierrez 31'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Dean 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Dje Tah D'Avilla 60'
  • redcard Dje Tah D'Avilla 84'
Major League Soccer
Aug 25, 2024 12.30am
2
2
HT : 4 0
FT Citi Field
  • Alonso Martinez 15' goal
  • Alonso Martinez 16' goal
  • Alonso Martinez 22' goal
  • Alonso Martinez 22' goal
  • Tayvon Gray 50' yellowcard
  • Tayvon Gray 50' yellowcard
  • Keaton Parks 90' yellowcard
  • Keaton Parks 90' yellowcard
  • Matt Freese 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gaston Gimenez 65'
  • yellowcard Gaston Gimenez 65'
  • goal Hugo Cuypers 78'
  • goal Hugo Cuypers 78'
  • yellowcard Federico Navarro 90'
  • yellowcard Federico Navarro 90'
  • goal Brian Gutierrez 90'+4'
  • goal Brian Gutierrez 90'+4'
Major League Soccer
Jul 14, 2024 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Soldier Field
  • Wyatt Omsberg 25' yellowcard
  • Wyatt Omsberg 25' yellowcard
  • Kellyn Acosta 45' yellowcard
  • Kellyn Acosta 45' yellowcard
  • Georgios Koutsias 80' yellowcard
  • Georgios Koutsias 80' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Pineda 84' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Pineda 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Justin Haak 21'
  • yellowcard Justin Haak 21'
  • yellowcard James Sands 60'
  • yellowcard James Sands 60'
Major League Soccer
Oct 21, 2023 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Yankee Stadium
  • Julian Fernandez 64' goal
  • Santiago Rodriguez 78' yellowcard
  • Kevin O'Toole 89' yellowcard
  • Andres Perea 90'+4' yellowcard
Major League Soccer
Mar 5, 2023 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Toyota Park
  • Fabian Herbers 75' goal
  • goal Gabriel Pereira 39'