Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
Jul 23, 2026 12.30am
Chase Stadium
Chicago Fire

Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 25, 2026 12.00am
Inter Miami 6 - 4 Philadelphia
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Lionel Messi 

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 17, 2026 1.30am
Chicago Fire 0 - 0 Vancouver
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Hugo Cuypers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inter Miami win with a probability of 51.3%. A win for Chicago Fire has a probability of 24.97% and a draw has a probability of 23.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win is 0-1 (6.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.86%).

Result

Inter Miami 51.3% ▲ (+0.05)
Draw 23.72% ▼ (-0.05)
Chicago Fire 24.97% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.44% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.02% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 19.98% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 59.9% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 40.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 40.72% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 59.21% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 26.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 73.71% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Inter Miami 45.34%
Draw 34.4%
Chicago Fire 20.26%

Team To Score First

Inter Miami 60.6% ▼ (-0.08)
No Goal 5.57%
Chicago Fire 33.83% ▲ (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 63.2% ▲ (+0.16)
Equal 8 9.93%
Under 8 26.88% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 9 52.65% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 9 10.55% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 36.8% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 10.5 42.28% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 10.5 57.72% ▼ (-0.15)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 1.5 53.64% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 46.36% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 29.75% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 70.25% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 14.21% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 85.79% ▼ (-0.03)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5 61.39% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 38.61% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 31.43% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 68.57% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 11.91% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 88.09% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.94% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Inter Miami 51.31%
Draw 23.73%
Chicago Fire 24.98%
Inter Miami
2-1 @ 8.44% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.42%
2-0 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.65%
3-2 @ 4.16%
3-0 @ 3.99% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 13.88% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 51.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.86%
2-2 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.57%
3-3 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.73%
Chicago Fire
0-1 @ 6.01%
1-2 @ 5.65%
0-2 @ 3.48%
1-3 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.45%
0-3 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.98%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Inter Miami
Oct 1, 2025 12.30am
3
5
HT : 0 0
FT
Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire
Apr 13, 2025 9.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Soldier Field
Inter Miami
  • Mauricio Pineda 3' yellowcard
  • Brian Gutierrez 36' yellowcard
  • Jack Elliott 62' yellowcard
  • Sergio Oregel Jr. 76' yellowcard
  • Carlos Teran 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Federico Redondo 19'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez 23'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Cremaschi 38'
Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire
Sep 1, 2024 1.30am
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT Soldier Field
Inter Miami
  • Hugo Cuypers 29' yellowcard
  • Hugo Cuypers 29' yellowcard
  • Rafael Czichos 64' yellowcard
  • Rafael Czichos 64' yellowcard
  • Georgios Koutsias 82' goal
  • Georgios Koutsias 82' goal
  • goal Tobias Salquist 25' (OG)
  • goal Tobias Salquist 25' (OG)
  • yellowcard Ian Fray 45'
  • yellowcard Ian Fray 45'
  • goal Luis Suarez 46'
  • goal Luis Suarez 46'
  • yellowcard Federico Redondo 58'
  • yellowcard Federico Redondo 58'
  • goal Luis Suarez 65'
  • goal Luis Suarez 65'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez 76'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez 76'
  • yellowcard David Martinez 79'
  • yellowcard David Martinez 79'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Cremaschi 83'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Cremaschi 83'
  • goal Robert Taylor 90'+3'
  • goal Robert Taylor 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
Jul 21, 2024 12.30am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
Chicago Fire
  • Matias Rojas 6' goal
  • Matias Rojas 6' goal
  • Robert Taylor 39' yellowcard
  • Robert Taylor 39' yellowcard
  • Jordi Alba 75' goal
  • Jordi Alba 75' goal
  • Ian Fray 85' yellowcard
  • Ian Fray 85' yellowcard
  • goal Rafael Czichos 74'
  • goal Rafael Czichos 74'
  • yellowcard Brian Gutierrez 88'
  • yellowcard Brian Gutierrez 88'
Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire
Oct 5, 2023 1.30am
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT Soldier Field
Inter Miami
  • Xherdan Shaqiri 49' goal
  • Xherdan Shaqiri 49' goal
  • Jonathan Dean 52' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Dean 52' yellowcard
  • Maren Haile-Selassie 62' goal
  • Maren Haile-Selassie 62' goal
  • Maren Haile-Selassie 65' goal
  • Maren Haile-Selassie 65' goal
  • Xherdan Shaqiri 73' goal
  • Xherdan Shaqiri 73' goal
  • yellowcard Sergio Busquets 42'
  • yellowcard Sergio Busquets 42'
  • yellowcard Gerardo Daniel Martino 43'
  • yellowcard Gerardo Martino 43'
  • goal Josef Martinez 53'
  • goal Josef Martinez 53'
  • yellowcard Facundo Farias 90'
  • yellowcard Facundo Farias 90'
Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
Mar 25, 2023 11.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
Chicago Fire
  • Franco Negri 45'+3' goal
  • Nicolas Stefanelli 76' goal
  • goal Chris Mueller 30'
  • goal Carlos Teran 38'
  • goal Kei Kamara 90'+2'

Form Data

Inter Miami 6 - 4 Philadelphia
Inter Miami 2 - 0 Portland
Cincinnati 3 - 2 Inter Miami
Toronto 2 - 4 Inter Miami
Inter Miami 3 - 4 Orlando City
Inter Miami 1 - 1 New England
Chicago Fire 0 - 0 Vancouver
Chicago Fire 2 - 1 Toronto
Montreal 0 - 2 Chicago Fire
DC United 1 - 2 Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire 1 - 3 NY Red Bulls
Chicago Fire 2 - 3 Cincinnati