Leagues Cup
Aug 7, 2026 12.30am
Sports Illustrated Stadium

New York City FC vs Santos Laguna - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions

Santos Laguna

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 59.83%. A draw has a probability of 21.75% and a win for Santos Laguna has a probability of 18.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.76%) , while for a Santos Laguna win it is 0-1 (4.96%).

Result

New York City FC 59.83% (+0.05)
Draw 21.75% (-0.02)
Santos Laguna 18.42% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.62% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.75% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 21.25% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 56.69% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 43.31% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 34.36% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 65.64% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 21.93% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 78.07% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

New York City FC 45.35% (+0.01)
Draw 37.02%
Santos Laguna 17.63% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

New York City FC 59.76% (+0.05)
No Goal 5.9% (+0.03)
Santos Laguna 34.34% (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 59.73% (+0.03)
Equal 8 11.61% (-0.01)
Under 8 28.66% (-0.04)
Over 9 47.7% (+0.05)
Equal 9 12.03% (-0.01)
Under 9 40.27% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 36.32% (+0.05)
Under 10.5 63.68% (-0.05)

New York City FC Goals

Over 1.5 57%
Under 1.5 43%
Over 2.5 31.44% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 68.56% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 14.57% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 85.43% (-0.09)

Santos Laguna Goals

Over 0.5 52.79% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 47.21% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 22.45% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 77.55% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 7.3% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 92.7% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.22% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.78% (+0.02)

Score analysis

New York City FC 59.83%
Draw 21.75%
Santos Laguna 18.42%
New York City FC
1-0 @ 10.39% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.8% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 6.81% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.13% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.9%
Other @ 14.31% (+0.09)
Total : 59.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.76% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.9% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.75%
Santos Laguna
0-1 @ 4.96% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.49% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.51%
2-3 @ 1.47%
0-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.96% (-0.02)
Total : 18.42%