Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 1-0 (7.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.