Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 1-2 (7.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.