Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 64%. A draw had a probability of 20.17% and a win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 15.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (10.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%) , while for a Santos Laguna win it was 1-2 (4.49%).