Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.45% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 19.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.43%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%) , while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.